EXPLAINER
Published On 24 Sep 2025
All teams in the Super Fours round of the regional cricket tournament have a chance of qualifying for the final thanks to Pakistan’s five-wicket victory over Sri Lanka in the Asia Cup 2025.
Sri Lanka are hoping and praying that three matches, including two that don’t involve them, will turn out to be successful, even though Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan still have their own fate in hand.
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How then can each of the four teams advance to the final? Before the Bangladesh vs. India game, Al Jazeera breaks it down:
Bangladesh’s chances of making it to the Asia Cup final
In a final-overs on Saturday, the Tigers roared as they held their resolve to defeat Sri Lanka by four wickets.
With two points and a net run rate (NRR) of 121, they remain among the top three teams in the final standings.
Bangladesh’s chances of making it to the final will increase if they beat India on Wednesday, but they won’t be guaranteed a spot until Friday, when NRR calculations may be involved.
However, Litton Das’s team will face Pakistan in a virtual semifinal on Thursday, with the winners meeting India in the final if they lose.
How does India advance to the Asia Cup final?
After defeating Pakistan comprehensively on Sunday, India are the only unbeaten team in the competition and are in the strongest position in the Super Fours.
The Twenty20 world champions maintain the top spot on the Super Fours points table thanks to their NRR of 0. 689.
If India defeats Bangladesh on Wednesday, they will advance to the final and watch for Bangladesh and Pakistan’s winners.
How does Pakistan advance to the Asia Cup final?
In their second Super Fours game, Pakistan defeated Sri Lanka, which they frequently do in a late recovery.
With two points and a NRR of 0 226, they are now second, two points ahead of Bangladesh, who they met in their final Super Fours game.
On Wednesday, Pakistan will support India while Pakistan will defeat them in the Tigers, and the next day, Pakistan will face their archrivals in the final game of September.
Sri Lanka’s chances of making it to the Asia Cup final
The six-time champions find themselves in a precarious position.
Before the agency can determine their chances of winning the final, they must wait and pray for the results of the Bangladesh vs. India and Bangladesh vs. Pakistan fixtures to be decided.
Bangladesh must defeat both India and Pakistan by a significant margin in order for Sri Lanka to have any advantage. In such a scenario, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka would each receive two points.
In the final Super Fours game on Friday, the islanders would need to record a massive win against Bangladesh.
If the Lions’ stars align and come out on top, Sri Lanka could defeat the two South Asian giants in a final encounter against Bangladesh if their stars align.
Source: Aljazeera
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