Top and bottom at Christmas – what does it mean?

Top and bottom at Christmas – what does it mean?

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Wolves, Burnley, and West Ham will hang precariously on the bottom branches of the Premier League while Arsenal will spend Christmas Day on top of the tree this year.

The title contest

The team that won the title on Christmas Day has since won it in 17 of its previous 33 seasons, essentially by turning a chocolate coin.

The Gunners were only at this level twice before Mikel Arteta took over, but for the third time in four seasons.

Their supporters hope that Arteta’s men can finally defeat Manchester City and deliver the gift they’ve longed for since 2004 thanks to the wisdom they’ve learned from previous seasons.

However, Arsenal only has a slim lead of just two points, compared to the team’s typical lead of four on Christmas Day.

The Gunners themselves, two years ago, were the only table-toppers at Christmas with a smaller lead than Arsenal in the previous 12 seasons.

However, history suggests a two-point lead might be sufficient.

The only Premier League team to ever win it was when they were top at Christmas, which coincidentally coincides with the season when they all three titles were in pursuit of the leaders.

In 1997-98, they were sixth and 13 points ahead of Man Utd, second and three points ahead of Newcastle in 2001-02, and third and one point ahead of Man Utd at Christmas in 2003-2004.

Strangely, Manchester City won the title twice in the first two of the previous 17 seasons when the team finished second on Christmas Day.

Will Arsenal’s season change?

There will be a sense of deja vu for many Arsenal supporters. The Gunners are a little bit used to playing in the Premier League at Christmas before being eaten up by a ferocious Pep Guardiola side.

They won’t be particularly confident either when a seven-point lead over Manchester City is reduced to two in five games.

“We’re back in the top of the table, but we’re not watching City or the other teams too much,” Saka said. “We now have complete control.” We are aware that if we are successful each week, we will continue.”

We are aware of how difficult this league will be and how much of it our own performance and results are. That’s it”.

Manchester City are undoubtedly a history club. The Premier League has been won by Guardiola six times, three times by Bayern Munich, and three times by Barcelona. As a manager, Arteta has not won any league titles.

None of the Arsenal squad has won a Premier League, but they have lost leads over the past few seasons, whereas Guardiola’s squad is full of Premier League winners who know what it takes to end a campaign strong.

But why isn’t this season different? Manchester City have lost four games this campaign, compared to Arsenal’s two losses, but they are far from their relentless counterpart in previous years.

“We’ll be there,” the promise. We’ll be there if they follow me, but we must continue to improve, Guardiola said.

“I am aware of the competition level in Europe, the Premier League, Arsenal, and the other teams, and how difficult they are.” It is insufficient.

The spirit is present, but last season, they did not have the spirit, nor did they have aggression, or hunger, all of which they needed. There is something about the Club World Cup that comes from within, not just the highlights and how good the actions are.

The battle against relegation

Only four of the 33 Premier League seasons have sides that have survived on Christmas Day, with Wolves having the most recent exception being in 2022-23.
However, to survive once more on only two points won and a record 16 points from safety, it would require a New Year’s, Valentine’s, and Easter miracle.

Nearly half of the teams in their position at Christmas have kept up, but Eddie Howe’s Newcastle’s 11th season was the only instance to come up against them in 2021-22. This gives second-bottom Burnley a chance to win.

One of West Ham, Burnley, and Wolves will likely stay, as it has happened more than twice in the past, with two teams remaining in 12 of the 33 seasons.

Norwich in 1994-1995, who were seventh with 30 points and 11 points above the drop, was the team that had the most points at Christmas but ultimately fell.

However, that was during a 42-game season. Blackpool were the best team in a 38-game campaign against the relegation on Christmas Day in 2010-11, which finished 19th with 39 points but was 10th with 22 points.

related subjects

  • Premier League
  • Football

More on this story.

    • 17 October
    A graphic of Premier League players from every team in the division in 2025-26 season, with the Premier League trophy in front of them.
    • August 16
    BBC Sport microphone and phone

Source: BBC

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