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Months after awarding the “FIFA Peace Prize” to Donald Trump, FIFA President Gianni Infantino said his organisation “can certainly not solve geopolitical conflicts.”

Who: Japan vs Australia
What: AFC Women’s Asian Cup final
Where: Stadium Australia, Sydney
When: Saturday at 8pm (09:00 GMT)
How to follow: We’ll have all the build-up on Al Jazeera Sport from 06:30 GMT in advance of our live text commentary stream.

Two and a half years after their Women’s World Cup dream on home soil ended in heartbreak, Australia return to the same piece of turf in search of redemption.

The ghosts of the past may still linger, but Saturday’s final offers the Matildas’ golden generation something more: the chance to rewrite their story and lift a first major trophy in front of their own fans.

With eyes on a second continental title, Australia will face heavyweights and two-time champions Japan in a blockbuster Women’s Asian Cup final at Sydney’s Stadium Australia, the same venue on which the Matildas were stunned 3-1 by eventual runners-up England in the 2023 World Cup semifinals.

While many consider Australia favourites to lift the trophy this weekend, history tells a different story. The Matildas have lost both previous continental finals against Japan, leaving the hosts hoping the third time will be the charm.

Al Jazeera Sport takes a closer look at the final and what to expect from both teams:

How did Australia and Japan reach the final?

Both Australia and Japan have enjoyed an unbeaten route to the final, with the Aussies finishing second in Group A and Japan topping Group C.

Australia, 15th in the FIFA world rankings, opened their campaign with a 1-0 win over the Philippines before thrashing Iran 4-0, but had to fight for a 3-3 draw with South Korea in the final group game.

The knockouts saw Australia overcome North Korea 2-1 in the quarterfinals before they were tested brutally by record nine-time champions China in the semifinals, which they won 2-1.

In contrast, World No 6 Japan, the highest-ranked team in the tournament, were dominant from the get-go, beating Taiwan 2-0 to start their campaign. That was followed by an 11-0 rout of India and a 4-0 mauling of Vietnam, as the Nadeshiko sailed into the knockouts with a perfect record and a clean sheet.

In the quarterfinals, they swept past the Philippines 7-0 before downing South Korea 4-1 in the semifinals, reminding fans of why they are the most dangerous side in this tournament.

How many times have Australia and Japan faced each other?

Australia and Japan are familiar foes, having faced off 30 times. The defining clashes came in the 2014 and 2018 editions of the Women’s Asian Cup, when Japan beat Australia 1-0 both times in the final of those tournaments.

Saturday’s match is also the first time Australia have been in the final since losing the 2018 edition.

Australia and Japan last met a little over a year ago at the SheBelieves Cup in the United States. Japan beat the Aussies 4-0 en route to winning the title.

How many Asian Cups have Australia and Japan won?

Australia have won the Women’s Asian Cup once – their only major title – at the 2010 edition in China, where the Matildas defeated North Korea 5-4 on penalties. Current captain Sam Kerr, then 16 years old, scored the opening goal in that final.

Japan have won the Asian Cup twice, in 2014 and 2018, while they ended runners-up four times (1986, 1991, 1995, 2001).

Japan are also the only Asian team to have won the Women’s World Cup, beating the United States on penalties in the 2011 edition in Germany.

What’s the prize money for the winner?

Along with continental bragging rights, the champions will receive a cheque for $1.8m – the same prize money from 2022, which is lower than any other confederation’s equivalent tournament besides Oceania.

In comparison, the winner at the 2023 men’s Asian Cup took home a prize purse of $14.8 million.

Kerr shines for Australia, Ueki leads the way for Japan

Sidelined for two years by an ACL injury, Australia captain Kerr arrived at the 2026 tournament with questions surrounding her fitness and saddled with a ⁠heavy burden to restore pride in the Matildas.

Now with four goals in five matches, including a sublime winner in Tuesday’s semifinal, the 32-year-old striker has silenced all doubts and carried her team back ⁠into the national spotlight.

“I know I can be one of the best players in the world, and I am showing that at this tournament,” the Chelsea striker said of her recent form.

Along with Kerr, central midfielder Alanna Kennedy has been a goal-scoring machine for the ‘Tillies’, netting five goals in as many matches to sit second on the top-scorers list, while Caitlin Foord has been a key playmaker with three assists.

But the tournament’s spotlight has been captured by Japan’s Riko Ueki, whose six goals in four matches – including a stunning hat-trick off the bench against India – lead the charts.

The striker, often a vital presence in Japan’s front three, poses a headache to the opposition, alongside winger Kiko Seike, who has four goals in four games.

Japan coach says Matildas are ‘massive favourites’

Japan coach Nils Nielsen insists Australia will be “massive favourites” in the final, but his team’s near-flawless progress to the title match suggests otherwise.

Japan’s attacking force has scored a whopping 28 goals in five games, while their solid backline has conceded just one, against South Korea in the semifinals.

The Nadeshiko will have a partisan crowd at the 83,500-capacity Stadium Australia to deal with, and Greenlander Nielsen put the pressure on the Kerr-led Australia by calling the frontrunners.

“The Matildas really have an amazing team; they have adapted to whatever is coming their way,” Nielsen said. “They have a great coach … He hasn’t been here long, and he’s already made so many nice transforms.

“When they play in front of a crowd like this, Australia are big favourites, massive favourites for the final.”

Meanwhile, Australia’s head coach Joe Montemurro believes his side can do better than what they showcased against China in the gruelling semifinal.

“We’re going to have to be better,” he told Australia’s Network 10. “There’s a resilience that we have in our psyche. We need to be better with the ball; we need to be smarter and control tempo.”

Kerr dreams of second Asian Cup triumph

Considered one of Australia’s greatest athletes, Kerr is the only player from the current squad who was also part of the 2010 Asian Cup-winning squad.

But she has never lifted any silverware with the current crop of players, many of whom have been alongside her in the team for more than a decade.

“It would honestly mean everything,” Kerr said of winning the title with them. “We’ve talked about it for ages. This is a dream of ours, and these girls are like family to me.”

Predicted Australia starting lineup

Matildas head coach Montemurro could pick defender Winonah Heatley ahead of Clare Hunt.

Mackenzie Arnold (goalkeeper); Ellie Carpenter, Winonah Heatley, Steph Catley, Kaitlyn Torpey; Kyra Cooney-Cross, Alanna Kennedy, Katrina Gorry; Mary Fowler, Sam Kerr, Caitlin Foord

Predicted Japan starting lineup

Japan head coach Nielsen could stick to the same lineup from the last game.

Dadu, Pakistan – Inayatullah Laghari stands on his toes to point at a faint line on the school wall, a watermark left by the floodwaters that had submerged the building and the surrounding villages during the catastrophic floods in Pakistan four years ago.

For him, it is a reminder of just how high the water rose in his village of Baid Sharif in Dadu district of Sindh, the worst-hit Pakistani province, where agriculture is the mainstay for millions of farmers like Laghari.

The 40-year-old farmer walks over to a patch of road nearby, an area that hadn’t come underwater in 2022. Whatever harvest Inayatullah was able to rescue from his flooded storage room was kept on the patch, as he slept beside the pile for a month to keep it safe.

“I had made up my mind that if the water rose any higher, I would throw all the stock onto the school roof that was still above water and pray the water didn’t reach there,” he says. “Thankfully, I didn’t have to do that, but most of what I rescued got spoiled later on.”

The 2022 floods – the worst ever in Pakistan’s recorded history – displaced 30 million people, killed more than 1,700, inundated millions of acres of farmlands, and destroyed or damaged more than a million homes, with the total damages estimated at a stunning $40bn.

The devastating floods were a climate disaster in a country that contributes less than 1 percent to global carbon emissions. Pakistan’s government attributed the disaster to the country’s vulnerability to climate change, with the minister of climate change, Sherry Rehman, calling the floods a “climate-induced humanitarian disaster of epic proportions” while the United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres described it as “monsoon on steroids”.

Today, Laghari is among 39 Pakistani farmers from Sindh, the worst-hit province, who have taken two German companies, RWE and Heidelberg Materials, to court over their greenhouse gas emissions, which they say contributed to the historic deluge in 2022.

RWE, with headquarters in Germany’s Essen town, is one of Europe’s largest electricity producers. Heidelberg Materials, based in the German city of the same name, is one of the world’s largest manufacturers of building materials. The two companies are among 178 industrial producers worldwide responsible for 70 percent of global carbon emissions, according to data from Carbon Majors, a climate change think tank that tracks historical emissions from the world’s largest oil, gas, coal, and cement producers.

Miriam Saage-Maab, legal director at the European Centre for Constitutional and Human Rights (ECCHR), which is representing the farmers, told Al Jazeera the companies were selected for being “two of the three largest emitters of carbon dioxide in Germany”, according to the Carbon Majors database.

The Pakistani farmers filed their lawsuit against the two firms last December in a Heidelberg court, which is currently reviewing the case.

Saage-Maab said neither company has any ground operations in Pakistan, but the lawsuit argues that despite the absence of physical proximity, the effect of the greenhouse gases they emit in Germany is felt thousands of kilometres away. She says the farmers’ lawsuit has a strong chance of proceeding to trial.

For her, she said, the significance of the case lies in helping define how responsibility for climate harm can be calculated and assigned, not just in courtrooms, but also in future political negotiations dealing with climate finance.

The case is inspired by a Peruvian farmer who, in 2015, sued RWE on similar charges. While a German court dismissed that case in 2025, it also ruled that companies can, in principle, be held liable for specific climate-related harms caused by their carbon emissions.

Saage-Maab said rulings like these make Germany a favourable jurisdiction for climate litigation “to some extent”, adding that such transnational climate cases are increasingly being pursued around the world.

Turning to German courts for holding companies accountable is not new in Pakistan.

After a fire tore through a garment factory in Karachi in 2012, killing more than 250 workers, one of the survivors and relatives of the victims filed a lawsuit in Germany in 2015 against KiK, a company that sourced a large portion of its products from the Pakistani factory. The petitioners argued that the company failed to ensure basic fire and building safety standards.

While the case was rejected on procedural grounds, it led to KiK paying compensation to the victims and helped prompt debates around corporate accountability in global supply chains. In 2023, Germany introduced a supply chain law aimed at addressing human rights violations by companies operating abroad.

The Pakistan-based trade union that helped the garment factory victims fight their case is now helping the 39 farmers, gathering and translating testimonies and evidence before sending them to the legal team in Germany.

Nasir Mansoor, general secretary of the National Trade Union Federation, told Al Jazeera the farmers’ lawsuit is Pakistan’s first cross-border climate litigation.

“There needs to be accountability,” he said. “We need to knock on their doors and tell them that whatever you’re doing, it’s causing us to suffer over here in Pakistan. This lawsuit is a campaign for justice and raising awareness of what’s happening.”

In a statement in January, RWE said the litigation was “yet another attempt to shift climate policy demands to German courtrooms”, arguing that climate cases such as the one from Pakistan are “massively damaging to Germany as an industrial location” and undermine legal certainty that German companies will not be sued from other parts of the world even after complying with the law.

Heidelberg Materials confirmed receiving a legal notice on the Pakistan case, but has not issued a public statement on the lawsuit.

Laghari says the local authorities in Pakistan failed to support them in recovering from the floods. People were either left to fend for themselves or were assisted by the NGOs, he says. The farmers also believe there is nothing they can do to hold the Pakistani government accountable, especially in a court of law.

“What’s the point of making a case against them in the courts here?” Laghari asks. “We have some cases in the villages that have been stuck in court for 15 or 20 years, ones that our grandfathers filed years ago. You get no justice from the local courts here. They’re courts only by name. That’s why we filed our case in Germany.”

While the farmers see foreign courts as their best chance at justice and compensation, some in Pakistan feel the responsibility for confronting climate change cannot lie abroad.

Hammad Naqi Khan, head of World Wildlife Fund-Pakistan, told Al Jazeera that while it is important to hold major global emitters responsible, one should also question local authorities about how well they are helping communities become climate resilient.

”Yes, our emissions are low, but that still doesn’t mean we keep on allowing coal-fired power plants or we tell our industries to do whatever they like,” he said.

“Our focus must be on building resilience and adaptation. To prepare our farmers to face this crisis, to prepare our fishermen, the people living in the mountains. We need to build their capacity and ensure that our own local governance has improved.”

Pakistan’s climate and disaster management authorities did not respond to Al Jazeera’s requests for comments on the lawsuit.

Gul Hasan Babar, a retired school teacher and farmer who is also among the 39 litigants, says any compensation from the lawsuit will help not just individual farmers but entire villages.

“The money we will get will help those who lost their homes and are still living in tents. They will get a chance to finally build a house to live in,” he told Al Jazeera, adding that it would also allow farmers to improve their lands by investing in supplies that revive soil fertility damaged by the floods.

Babar, 55, said even if they lost the case, he hoped the lawsuit would trigger the kind of effect and awareness the Karachi garment factory case helped produce. “These companies will control their pollution then, and our country will suffer less. People will suffer less,” he said.

Laghari is hopeful about the outcome, but he also recognises that things might not go their way.

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