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‘We will last six months’ if Trump pulls US military aid from Ukraine

Kyiv, Ukraine – Ahead of the emergency summit in Paris on Europe’s response to being excluded from US-Russia peace talks, Ukraine’s president warned of his country’s bleak future if US military aid is cut.

In an interview with the NBC news program Meet the Press, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said, “We will have a low chance of surviving without the support of the United States.”

Donald Trump, the president of the United States, expressed his willingness to reduce military aid to Ukraine in December.

Zelenskyy rejected a proposed US agreement that would grant Washington access to Ukraine’s rare earth minerals in exchange for continued military support, which could strain relations even more.

The refusal, along with Trump’s recent statements and private calls with both Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin, have raised fresh uncertainty about Washington’s long-term support for Kyiv.

Relying on Europe

With US support uncertain, Europe faces mounting pressure to fill the gap.

Zelenskyy raised the issue of Europe developing its “own military” during the Munich Security Conference on February 14 and 16 in response to Trump’s comments and actions.

“Let’s be honest. We can’t rule out the possibility that America might reject Europe on a security-related issue, Zelenskyy said.

Former deputy commander of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ General Staff, Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, stated to Al Jazeera that Ukraine will require more assistance than Europe can provide.

“Europe can’t possibly replace American aid,” he said, adding that Ukraine won’t survive long without US military aid and predicting, “We will last six months. ”

Political turbulence could stymie European support.

Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Slovakia’s PM Robert Fico, both sceptical of military aid to Kyiv, could block EU-wide decisions. Meanwhile, Germany’s far-right AfD party is surging in the polls, further complicating Europe’s ability to act decisively.

Alternative for Germany (AfD) is anti-immigration, anti-European Union, and often pro-Putin. It raises the possibility of forcing Berlin to stop supporting Kyiv and deport Ukrainian refugees.

Ukraine has faced difficulties in increasing its production of weapons and ammunition, despite the possibility of a military aid agreement between Europe and the United States. Russia’s defense sector produced more weapons than NATO, underscoring the need for the EU to revigorate its defense sector for Ukraine.

North Korea has also offered assistance to Russia, with Ukrainian intelligence reporting that thousands of troops have been dispatched by Pyongyang to Russian-held areas. According to South Korea, North Korea has also provided millions of artillery shells to Moscow.

‘It was lousy’

Without US military assistance, Ukraine already had a glimpse of life, according to Romanenko.

A bill passed in April 2024 that would provide for more than $60 billion in desperately needed funding for Ukraine had been delayed for months by Republican hardliners under the influence of former president Donald Trump.

“We’ve already seen what a six-months-long suspension of aid resulted in,” Romanenko said.

According to Romanenko, Ukraine lost a number of strategic strongholds in the southeast Donbass region before the package was approved, losing “thousands of lives.”

During the delay in providing military aid, Bohgan, a military officer stationed in Donbas, claimed that fighting there quickly became much riskier.

“It was lousy, we could fire only five shells a day, while the [expletive] Russians could fire hundreds at us without counting,” said Bohgan, who could not give his last name due to Ukraine Ministry of Defence regulations.

‘Mid-summer or autumn’

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Russia began in February 2022, Washington has so far provided $175 billion in aid to Kyiv through five separate bills that have been approved by the US Congress.

According to researcher at the German University of Bremen, Nicholas Mitrokhin, how quickly Ukraine will use its US-funded military supplies will depend on how quickly its soldiers are forced to use them.

He claimed that Kyiv’s reliance on missiles for the US-made Patriot air defense system is due to constant Russian air raids. Patriot missile costs several million dollars, and they are often spent on expendable targets such as Iranian-made Shahed drones or their Russian-made replicas.

“That’s why my assumption is that the current and upcoming US supplies will definitely last until mid-summer [July], if not until autumn [September], provided they are spent moderately,” Mitrokhin said.

He claimed that Europe cannot make up for the loss of US military supplies, especially when it comes to Patriot missiles, light-armed vehicles, and 155mm shells used to thwart Russian infantry.

According to Mitrokhin, how long before Russia-US ties start to deteriorate and whether Ukraine would need to survive without US military assistance would be a factor.

“Trump’s and Putin’s relationship will turn sour, and we will soon see a decisive increase in US supplies,” he told Al Jazeera.

Russians and Americans dressed up as fashion designers.

Kyiv-based analyst Alexey Kushch said that Zelenskyy was right to decline Trump’s deal that tied military aid to Ukraine’s mineral resources.

If Washington writes off half of the debt and schedules the remainder to be paid back by the end of the century, he told Al Jazeera, the US should treat Ukraine like an ally and that it would be fair.

No one questioned whether the USSR should make up for the military aid by dispensing with its natural resources, according to Kushch, referring to the billions of dollars in military equipment that Russia purchased in the 1990s from Washington.

“Why should Ukraine, an ally, do it? ” Kushch asked Al Jazeera.

Some Ukrainians are upset about the most recent developments, regardless of whether the US stops providing military aid.

“As usual, somebody else will decide our fate,” Vsevolod Boyko, a retired school principal whose son Ihor is fighting in Donbas despite two wounds, told Al Jazeera.

Which countries are the top military spenders and where does Europe rank?

In Paris, European leaders are gathered for an urgent summit to discuss how to respond to President Donald Trump’s decision to discuss ending the Ukrainian conflict without European involvement.

Monday’s meeting in the French capital follows the Munich Security Conference, which ended on Sunday, where US Vice President JD Vance reiterated Trump’s stance that Europe must increase its defence spending.

In January, Trump called on NATO’s European members to allocate 5 percent of their gross national products (GDPs) to defence. Member states have also been urged to increase their defense spending by NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

How much is global military spending?

Global military spending hit $2.44 trillion in 2023, or $306 per person, marking a 6.8 percent increase from the previous year, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). This was the largest year-on-year rise since 2009.

By comparison, in 2000, global military expenditures were $798bn, or $130 per capita – less than a third of the amount spent today.

Total military spending is the total money that nations spend on their respective militaries and related activities. This includes costs for soldiers, operations, weapons, equipment, research and military infrastructure.

Which countries spend the most on their militaries?

The US spends the most money on military, making it the world’s largest military spender. In 2023, it paid out $880bn –&nbsp, more than the next eight countries combined, according to SIPRI.

China is the second highest spender with $309bn, followed by Russia at $126bn, India at $83bn and Saudi Arabia at $74bn.

The countries’ total military expenditures are listed in the table below, along with their per capita expenditures and spending as a proportion of their GDPs and government budgets. To sort the table, click on the columns to the left.

Which countries invest the most of their GDP in their militaries?

Due to its ongoing war with Russia, Ukraine allocated $62bn to its military in 2023, the highest share of GDP at 36.7 percent.

Lebanon ranked second, spending 8.9 percent of its GDP, followed by Algeria at 8.2 percent, Saudi Arabia at 7.1 percent and South Sudan at 6.3 percent.

What percentage of NATO members’ money is spent?

NATO, established in 1949 by 12 founding member states, is the world’s most powerful military alliance. Its original goal was to promote political cohesion in Europe and halt Soviet expansion.

Over the past 75 years, its membership has grown to 32 members with Finland and Sweden becoming the latest countries to join in 2023 and 2024, respectively.

(Al Jazeera)

To ensure the alliance’s military readiness, the defense ministers agreed in 2006 to allocate at least 2% of their GDPs to defense spending.

Currently, two-thirds of its members (23 of 32) have fulfilled this commitment, raising the money spent on defence by all NATO members to $1.47 trillion in 2024. This is an improvement over the 2014 commitment of only 10 nations that met the 2 percent guideline in 2023 and three that met the commitment in 2014.

Pope’s hospitalisation extended to treat ‘complex’ condition, Vatican says

Pope Francis’s respiratory tract infection has presented a “complex clinical picture” requiring further hospitalisation, the Vatican says.

According to Matteo Bruni, a spokesman for the Vatican, the pope is suffering from a “polymicrobial respiratory tract infection” that has necessitated a change in his medication regimen.

There was no timeframe given for his hospitalisation, which has already sidelined Francis for longer than a 2023 hospitalisation for pneumonia.

Bruni claimed the pope was “in good spirits” and that the complexity of his symptoms “will require an appropriate hospital stay.”

Concerns about the 88-year-old pontiff’s health have increased since his admission to Gemelli Hospital in Rome, Italy, on Friday after a weeklong bout of bronchitis worsened.

Some activities related to the Vatican’s Jubilee Holy Year have already been forced to be canceled as a result of Pope Francis’ hospitalization, which also raises questions.

The pope’s scheduled weekly meeting in St. Peter’s Square on Wednesday was postponed, according to the Vatican because he remained hospitalized.

Prior to the pope’s doctors’ earlier order, Francis had to take the pope’s usual weekly prayer to pilgrims in St. Peter’s Square on Sunday and perform a Mass for artists to celebrate the Catholic Church’s jubilee year.

Pilgrims who were in the Vatican on Monday expressed optimism about the pope’s recovery.

“We certainly wish for him to get better very quickly”, said Reverend Tyler Carter, a Catholic priest from the United States.

“He is our father and our shepherd, and so we want his continued health and blessing”.

Manuel Rossi, a tourist from the Italian city of Milan, said he was “quite worried” when the pope cancelled his appearance on Sunday.

“I am 18 years old, so I have seen a few popes in my life and am very close to him”, Rossi said.

“I hope he recovers as soon as possible”.

After battling a pulmonary infection as a young man, Francis had one lung removed.

Despite having a more fragile health, the Argentinian pope is a well-known workaholic.

ICC Champions Trophy 2025: Pakistan’s ‘punishment’ ends as cricket is back

Cricket fans in Pakistan are buzzing ahead of the International Cricket Council’s (ICC’s) Champions Trophy, and hosting the elite one-day international tournament will rekindle the country’s love affair with the sport, three former captains say.

The event, which features the sport’s top eight sides in the ODI format, begins on Wednesday with the hosts up against New Zealand in Karachi.

It will be the first major global tournament hosted by Pakistan in nearly 30 years, and former batting great Inzamam-ul-Haq told the Reuters news agency there is no escaping the excitement in the lead-up to the event.

“Right now, everyone is talking about the Champions Trophy – in schools, houses, markets, offices, everywhere,” he said.

The ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is to bring a joyous return of global cricket to Pakistan [Akhtar Soomro/Reuters]

Pakistan spent nearly a decade in the wilderness after gunmen attacked the Sri Lankan cricket team’s bus in Lahore in 2009, wounding six players.

Top teams shunned Pakistan after the attack, and it took the Pakistan Cricket Board years to persuade their foreign counterparts that it was safe to visit.

“The events of 2009 feel like a bad dream,” Inzamam said. “We were punished for 10 years. Our cricket went backwards.”

The national team, captained for the bulk of those years by Misbah-ul-Haq, hosted its “home” games in the United Arab Emirates and remained relatively successful. Fixtures then began trickling back onto Pakistani soil in 2018.

“For fans and young cricketers to see the stars playing live is a big deal,” said Misbah, Pakistan’s most successful Test captain. “Not having that meant the whole cricket machinery was jammed.”

Members of the Special Security Unit (SSU) walk at the premises of the National Bank Stadium ahead of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 tournament in Karachi, Pakistan February 14, 2025. REUTERS/Akhtar Soomro
Members of the Special Security Unit patrol at National Bank Stadium in Karachi, Pakistan, before the tournament [Akhtar Soomro/Reuters]

Former captain Aamer Sohail said the connection between fans and players was evident at Wednesday’s warm-up game against South Africa when Pakistan reeled in the visitors’ 352 to complete their highest successful ODI run chase.

“What was heartening in the game is that people turned up, and then the players turned up. It was kind of reciprocating, wasn’t it?” Sohail added

The Champions Trophy was discontinued by the ICC after the eighth edition in 2017 when Sarfaraz Ahmed’s Pakistan beat India in the final.

Should both teams reach the title decider this year, Pakistan will not have the advantage of playing at home because India are playing all their matches at this edition in Dubai due to political tensions.

“A Pakistan-India match is not just a game of cricket – it’s a game of expectations, of emotions,” Misbah said.

A view of newly renovated National Bank Stadium, where fans watch the tri-series ODI cricket final match between Pakistan and New Zealand, in Karachi, Pakistan, Friday, Feb. 14, 2025. (AP Photo/Fareed Khan)
National Bank Stadium was reopened after refurbishments for the recent warm-up series with New Zealand [Fareed Khan/AP]

Inzamam recalled a 2004 ODI against India in Karachi, where he scored a thrilling hundred in a losing chase.

“I got a standing ovation, but so did the Indian team for their performance,” he said. “Supporters from both sides would have wanted to see this match.”

Sohail will forever be remembered for one of the most famous on-field spats with Indian bowler Venkatesh Prasad in the 1996 World Cup quarterfinals, the last major event played in Pakistan.

“It’s not just important for both the countries. I think this rivalry is important for international cricket,” he said.

Unchilding Palestine’s children

On February 7, 10-year-old Saddam Rajab died in a hospital in the occupied West Bank after being shot by an Israeli soldier days earlier. Saddam was standing in the street in front of his home when Israeli soldiers invaded his village near Tulkarem and started firing.

CCTV footage shows the moment he was shot. He fell to the ground, clutching his abdomen and curling up into a foetal position. The first hospital he was rushed to was unable to treat him and so he had to be transferred to another in Nablus. On the way, the ambulance was held up for hours at a checkpoint where an Israeli soldier taunted Saddam’s father, saying: “I am the one who shot your son. God willing, he will die.”

Saddam is one of 13 Palestinian children that the Israeli army has killed in the occupied West Bank since the start of the year. The death toll of children murdered by Israeli soldiers and settlers in the occupied West Bank has shockingly exceeded 220 since January 2023.

Saddam’s story – like the stories of other Palestinian child victims – never made international headlines. There was no reaction from the international community to his murder. That is because Palestinian children experience relentless dehumanisation.

This is apparent even in the few stories that get in the media spotlight, like the case of six-year-old Hind Rajab, who was killed by the Israeli army in Gaza on January 29, 2024, almost exactly a year before Saddam was shot. Along with her aunt, uncle and cousins, Hind was attempting to evacuate from Gaza City in a car when they were surrounded by Israeli forces, who fired on them.

While her relatives were killed, Hind survived the initial bout of fire and managed to get in touch with the Palestine Red Crescent Society (PRCS). The released recording of her phone calls to the PRCS asking for help as Israeli tanks closed in on her shocked the world.

The ambulance that was sent to rescue her never came back, and Hind’s calls to the PRCS ceased. Nearly two weeks later, the bodies of Hind, her relatives and the two ambulance workers, Yusuf Zeino and Ahmed al-Madhoun, were found. Subsequent investigations showed that the Israeli army fired on the ambulance and the car in which Hind was stuck, despite being given their coordinates.

Palestinian child Hind Rajab poses for a photograph, in this undated handout picture obtained by Reuters on February 10, 2024

While the story of Hind’s brutal death made international headlines – a rare case among the more than 17,000 children killed in Gaza – there were still attempts to dehumanise her and deny her the status of a child victim. For example, when reporting on the Columbia University student encampment that named a building after her, CNN explained “Hind’s Hall” was a reference to a “woman” who was killed in Gaza.

Another particularly egregious example of denying the child status of a Palestinian child is a January 2024 report by Sky News, in which a broadcaster claimed that: “accidentally, a stray bullet found its way into the van ahead, and that killed a three- or four-year-old young lady”. This “young lady” was a Palestinian child named Ruqaya Ahmad Odeh Jahalin, who was shot in the back by Israeli soldiers while sitting in a taxi with her family in the West Bank.

These examples illustrate what Palestinian academic Nadera Shalhoub-Kevorkian has called “unchilding”. She coined the term to expose the dehumanisation that accompanies violence against children in a colonial context. In occupied and colonised Palestine, Palestinian children are stripped of their childhood in order to justify the brutality that is inflicted upon them.

For decades, Palestinian children have been portrayed by the Israeli regime and the West either as inferior to other children or not children at all; they have often been equated with adults who have the potential to be “terrorists”. In this way, they are seen as inherently dangerous and denied the status of “child” and the connotation of innocence that is afforded to it.

Unchilding not only covers up the murder and maiming of Palestinian children; it also facilitates their kidnapping, detention and abuse in Israeli jails.

Last year, Ayham al Salaymeh, a 14-year-old Palestinian boy from Silwan, Jerusalem, became the youngest Palestinian to serve a prison sentence in an Israeli prison. Ayham had been arrested two years prior and was accused of throwing stones at illegal Israeli settlers.

A photo of Ayham al Salaymeh
Ayham al Salaymeh became the youngest Palestinian prisoner at the age of 14 [Al Jazeera Arabic]

He was interrogated and placed under house arrest for two years, before being convicted under new Israeli legislation that permits the imprisonment of Palestinian children for capital offences classed as “terrorism”. Israel is the only country in the world that systematically prosecutes and imprisons children.

The Israeli media routinely brands Palestinian children like Ayham as potential security threats, indoctrinated minors or human shields, in an effort to justify their imprisonment and torture.

As the genocide extends across Palestine, the horrific reality is that more Palestinian children and adults will be killed by the Israeli army while the world watches on. Their killings will not be covered by the Western mainstream media, there will be no segments interviewing their families with collages of pictures from their childhoods, nor will there be statements of condemnation from world leaders. Palestinian children have been effectively stripped of their childhood and with it, their humanity.