How Trump’s executive orders will roll out — if courts allow them

United States President Donald Trump has signed a record 26 executive orders on his Inauguration Day. However, some are expected to face hurdles as experts warn they clash with the US Constitution.

Here is more about the orders signed on Monday and whether they can be implemented:

How do executive orders work?

An executive order is a directive issued by the US president related to the running of the federal government. The orders do not require congressional approval.

How often are they used, and can they be overturned?

Every US president – except William Henry Harrison, whose presidential term started in March 1841 and lasted a month until his death in April 1841 – has issued at least one executive order. Joe Biden, whom Trump has replaced as president, issued 162 orders during his four-year term, 17 of which were signed on Inauguration Day. During Trump’s first term from 2016 to 2020, he signed 220 orders, 14 of which were signed on his Inauguration Day. Trump’s second term marks a record number of executive orders signed on Inauguration Day.

While executive orders do not need approval from Congress, they can be blocked by Congress and the courts. “Congress may pass legislation that might make it difficult, or even impossible, to carry out the order, such as removing funding,” according to the American Bar Association’s website. In 1992, Congress passed a measure nullifying then-President George HW Bush’s executive order that sought to establish a human fetal tissue bank for research.

Executive orders can also face court challenges for being unconstitutional. In 1952, the Supreme Court ruled that then-President Harry Truman could not seize steel mills to ensure production during the Korean War.

Sitting presidents can also reverse executive orders by issuing new ones.

What executive orders did Trump sign on Inauguration Day?

1. Renames Mount Denali and Gulf of Mexico

What the order means:  The order calls for the name of the highest peak in North America, Alaska’s Mount Denali, to revert back to Mount McKinley after former Republican President William McKinley, who never visited Alaska. The name of the peak was changed the first time in 2015 by President Barack Obama from Mount McKinley to Mount Denali, which is the name preferred by Indigenous people and locals in Alaska. Trump’s order also calls for the Gulf of Mexico, a body of water bound by Cuba, Mexico and the US, to be renamed the Gulf of America. Trump wants this change within 30 days of the order.

The complications it might face:  The order has drawn rebuke from politicians in Alaska and Mexico. “Our nation’s tallest mountain, which has been called Denali for thousands of years, must continue to be known by the rightful name bestowed by Alaska’s Koyukon Athabascans, who have stewarded the land since time immemorial,” Lisa Murkowski, a Republican US senator from Alaska, posted on X.

Can it be delivered? : Renaming Denali is procedurally straightforward because it is within US borders. Trump can rename the Gulf of Mexico as well, but the rest of the world does not have to follow suit. There are no international laws that decide what a common maritime space or a disputed territory is called universally.

2. Establishes Department of Government Efficiency to modernise federal technology

What the order means: The order establishes the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), an organisation within the president’s executive office overseen by Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk. The goal of DOGE is to “dismantle government bureaucracy, slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures and restructure federal agencies”, Trump said in a statement in November.

The complications it might face: Moments after it was signed, legal action was taken against the DOGE order. There are currently four lawsuits against DOGE. The first one – filed in federal court in Washington, DC, by Public Citizen, the State Democracy Defenders Fund and the American Federation of Government Employees – argues that DOGE violates the 1972 Federal Advisory Committee Act and disobeys federal transparency rules on disclosure. Other lawsuits have been filed by the National Security Counselors and Democracy Forward, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington and the Center for Biological Diversity.

Can it be delivered? : It depends on how the legal cases pan out, but it seems Trump was prepared to face litigation over DOGE when he appointed election lawyer William McGinley as general counsel for the project.

3. Reforms federal hiring to prioritise merit, skills and constitutional dedication

What the order means:  Within 120 days of the order, leaders of federal agencies will develop a federal hiring plan, amending how federal employees are hired or fired, emphasising merit-based decisions over political considerations.

The complications it might face: none that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

4. Ends “diversity, equity and inclusion” initiatives and related programmes in the federal government

What the order means: The federal government’s diversity and inclusion programmes established by the Joe Biden administration will be dismantled. All diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) office staffers will be placed on paid leave from Wednesday and DEI websites will be taken down.

The complications it might face: none that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : Yes, in fact, many private companies from Walmart to Facebook have also been scaling back on their diversity practices after facing backlash and litigation from conservative groups.

5. Recognises only biological sex in federal policy

What the order means: Federal agencies will only recognise two biological sexes: male and female. “These sexes are not changeable and are grounded in fundamental and incontrovertible reality,” the order says.

The complications it might face: Previously, when states have tried to ban gender-affirming care for transgender youth, they have faced litigation with claims that they are infringing on the 14th Amendment of the US Constitution, which guarantees equal protections to every person. In 2023, a federal judge blocked a law in Tennessee forbidding healthcare workers from administering hormones to minors. The order also rescinds an October 2021 government document supporting intersex students.

Can it be delivered? : Yes, but it is likely to face legal challenges.

6. Designates cartels as ‘foreign terrorist organisations’

What the order means: International drug cartels are to be designated as “terrorist organisations”. “In certain portions of Mexico, they function as quasi-governmental entities,” the order says.

The complications it might face: Mexico opposes this order because it creates the threat of US military action against Mexico. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said at a news conference on Tuesday that her government will cooperate with the US to fight drug trafficking but opposes US intervention on Mexico’s territory. “What we insist on is the defence of our sovereignty and our independence,” she said.

Can it be delivered? : yes.

7. Prioritises US interests in all foreign policy decisions

What the order means: The US will take priority in foreign policy decisions.

The complications it might face: none that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

8. Strengthens vetting processes to prevent “foreign terrorists” and threats from entering the US

What the order means:  The visa screening process for immigrants will become stricter.

The complications it might face: none that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

9. Encourages development of Alaska’s resources like oil, gas, and minerals

What the order means:  The order aims to promote the commercial production of Alaska’s natural resources, such as liquefied natural gas, minerals, timber and seafood.

The complications it might face: Environmental groups have criticised this order.

Can it be delivered? : yes

10. Strengthens immigration enforcement

What the order means:  Immigration laws will be strictly enforced.

The complications it might face: None that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

11. Pauses US foreign aid for 90 days to review and ensure alignment with US interests

What the order means: All international aid programmes will be suspended and reassessed.

The complications it might face: none that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

12. Declares a national energy emergency to improve US energy supplies

What the order means: The order allows to facilitate the speedy identification, leasing, siting, production, transportation, refining, and generation of US energy resources, including on federal lands.

The complications it might face: Trump faces criticism from environmental groups over this order.

Can it be delivered? : yes

13. Restores the death penalty for severe federal crimes

What the order means: The Biden administration halted the federal death penalty. In his final days in office, Biden also commuted the death penalty for most people on death row, reducing their sentences to life in prison. With this order, Trump has brought back the federal death penalty, and intends to help states stock up on drugs needed to carry out executions.

The complications it might face: Drugs for lethal injections are difficult to get, and the death penalty faces growing opposition in the US.

Can it be delivered? : The drug shortages pose a challenge.

14. Secures US borders by building more walls and enforcing strict immigration laws

What the order means: It aims to tighten border security by building a physical wall and other barriers “monitored and supported by adequate personnel and technology” and detaining, removing and prosecuting immigrants suspected of violating federal or state laws.

The complications it might face: Trump could face criticism from immigrant rights groups over this order.

Can it be delivered? : yes

15. Blocks birthright citizenship

What the order means: It seeks to end automatic US citizenship for anyone born in the US. Birthright citizens include children of undocumented immigrants and tourists, workers and students in the US on valid visas.

The complications it might face:  Birthright citizenship is enshrined in the US Constitution’s 14th Amendment: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside. ” Eighteen Democratic-governed states have filed a lawsuit in a Massachusetts federal court against this order.

Can it be delivered? : It is extremely difficult for Trump to implement this policy with just an executive order because it contradicts the constitution, according to many experts. Bruce Fein, an American lawyer specialising in constitutional and international law, told Al Jazeera in December that to end birthright citizenship, “an amendment [to the constitution] would be required, which would be DOA [dead on arrival]. ”

16. Stops accepting new refugees temporarily to ensure the asylum programme aligns with US interests

What the order means: The admission of refugees into the US will be suspended.

The complications it might face: Trump’s order is drawing criticism for jeopardising the safety of thousands of Afghan refugees. The order “risks abandoning thousands of Afghan wartime allies who stood alongside US service members during two decades of conflict,” Shawn VanDiver, the president of the Afghan resettlement coalition AfghanEvac, told The New York Times.

Can it be delivered? : yes

17. Removes regulations to boost US energy production and eliminates the “electric vehicle (EV) mandate”

What the order means:  In essence, the order ends a series of a line with other executive orders calling for expanding the energy sector, this order eliminates the electric vehicle “mandate” to “promote true consumer choice”.

The complications it might face: Trump could face criticism from environmental groups over this order.

Can it be delivered? : yes

What the order means:  The order asks the defence secretary within 10 days to deliver a plan “which assigns United States Northern Command (USNORTHCOM) the mission to seal the borders and maintain the sovereignty, territorial integrity, and security of the United States”.

The complications it might face: Nnone that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

19. Revokes security clearances of former officials involved in “election interference”

What the order means:  The order removes the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who signed a letter in 2020 saying news reports of Biden’s son Hunter Biden leaving his laptop at a repair shop was part of a Russian misinformation campaign.

The complications it might face: none that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

20. Makes it easier to remove federal workers in policy roles if they perform poorly or act against policies

What the order means:  This order claims it is about greater accountability and transparency for the federal officials who shape policy decisions. But it would also take away job protections and in theory, allow the administration to fire employees who don’t agree with its policies.

The complications it might face: Lawsuits have been filed against the order.

Can it be delivered? : It depends on what the courts decide.

21. Withdraws US from World Health Organization

What the order means:  The US, one of the largest donors to the WHO, is to withdraw from the United Nations health agency due to its “mishandling” of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The complications it might face: “Trump made a unilateral decision to pull out of WHO. But we joined WHO in 1948 by an Act of Congress. Trump needs Congress’ approval to withdraw,” Professor Lawrence Gostin, director of the O’Neill Institute and chairman of global health law at Georgetown University in Washington DC, posted on X. Gostin added: “I am considering a lawsuit. ”

Can it be delivered? : Legal troubles could get in the way.

22. Pauses enforcement of a ban on TikTok for 75 days to review security concerns

What the order means:  Popular social media app TikTok, owned by the Chinese company ByteDance, was banned in the US on Sunday through a federal law upheld by the Supreme Court. This order suspends this law for 75 days.

The complications it might face: None that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

23. Revokes previous executive orders and actions considered harmful

What the order means:  It overturns 78 executive orders made during the Biden administration.

The complications it might face: None that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

24. Stops federal censorship of speech online

What the order means: The order says it seeks to ensure that federal officials do not infringe on the right to  free speech. The right is guaranteed by the First Amendment of the US Constitution.

The complications it might face:  It is unclear how this would impact US agencies that monitor and regulate false information, including the FBI, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency.

Can it be delivered? : yes

25. Stops using federal agencies to target political opponents

What the order means: Essentially, the order empowers the attorney general to scrutinise all government departments to identify instances when agencies were used to target Trump and his allies over the past four years.

The complications it might face: None that we know of so far

Can it be delivered? : yes

26. Withdraws the US from the Paris Agreement and other international climate commitments

What the order means:  The US will withdraw from international climate treaties, including the Paris Agreement. The Paris Agreement calls for a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. The main goal of the agreement is to prevent long-term global temperatures from warming 1. 5 degrees Celsius (2. 7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial times and, if not that, then well below 2C (3. 6F)

The complications it might face: Trump could face criticism from environmental groups over this order.

‘The battlefield is about to shift’: West Bank braces for rising violence

When the Gaza ceasefire was announced on January 15, Palestinians in the occupied West Bank were overjoyed that Israel’s devastating war on the besieged enclave would finally end.

However, Israeli state violence has quickly escalated across the West Bank in what local monitors and analysts describe as an apparent attempt to formally annex more land.

The sudden uptick in settler attacks and Israeli military operations has frightened Palestinians in the occupied territory, who believe they could now face the same kind of violence meted out to their countrymen and women in Gaza. Israel has killed more than 46,900 Palestinians in Gaza since its war started on the enclave in October 2023.

“We watched a genocide unfold in Gaza for 14 months and nobody in the world did anything to stop it and some people here think we’ll suffer a similar fate,” said Shady Abdullah, a journalist and human rights activist from Tulkarem.

“We all know we fear that the situation could get much worse here in the West Bank,”  he told Al Jazeera.

A Palestinian youth sifts through the aftermath of an attack by suspected Israeli settlers in the West Bank village of Jinsafut, Tuesday, January 21, 2025 [Majdi Mohammed/AP Photo]

Shifting battlefield

Hours after the Gaza ceasefire began on January 19, Israel began erecting dozens of new checkpoints in the West Bank to prevent Palestinians from gathering and celebrating the release of political prisoners, who were let go in a swap for Israeli captives held by Hamas as part of the deal.

The checkpoints also prohibited farmers from reaching their farmlands and sealed civilians in entire cities, such as in Hebron and Bethlehem.

Israeli settlers then began expanding illegal outposts in the West Bank and attacking Palestinian villages. Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank are illegal under international law, and many of the haphazardly constructed outposts are even illegal under Israeli law, although often little is done to remove them, and many later become formalised.

“The implications of the violence is that it leads to direct or associated displacement and that falls in line with Israel’s objective of preventing any Palestinian state on their land,” said Tahani Mustafa, an expert on Israel-Palestine with International Crisis Group.

In addition, the Israeli army announced plans to carry out major operations in the West Bank, which began on January 21 with a major incursion into Jenin camp, ostensibly to root out armed groups. Israeli raids on the West Bank predated the war on Gaza, but scaled up in violence and intensity with the onset of the war.

“The settler violence and incursions we are seeing … is an indicator of where we are heading now,”  Mustafa told Al Jazeera.

Trade-off?

The uptick in violence has led some to believe that new United States President Donald Trump made a trade-off with Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to pause the war on Gaza in exchange for stepping up aggression in the West Bank.

“The ceasefire in Gaza – which looks more like a humanitarian pause and “trade of hostages and prisoners” – comes with a price. Israel never ever relinquishes anything without a price to be paid and I think we are seeing that in the West Bank, given the sort of [officials] the Trump administration is composed of,” Mustafa said.

Trump has not indicated that there is any kind of deal with Netanyahu to allow him to increase violence in the West Bank, but he has also refused to commit to a two-state solution, and has nominated several figures who are opposed to Palestinian statehood to prominent positions in his administration.

The potential for an increased crackdown on Palestinian fighters in the West Bank, as well as the growth of illegal settlements and even potential annexation, appears to have incentivised Israel’s far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich to remain in Netanyahu’s frail coalition, rather than pull out and collapse the government as a way to protest the ceasefire in Gaza.

Under Smotrich, Israel has quietly confiscated more land in the West Bank over the last year than it has in the last 20 years combined, according to Peace Now, an Israeli nonprofit monitoring land grabs.

Smotrich
Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich supports the annexation of the occupied West Bank [File: Amir Cohen/Reuters]

Both Smotrich and the broader settler movement have long viewed the occupied West Bank as an integral part of “greater Israel”, and refer to the territory as Judea and Samaria.

Smotrich’s rapid annexation of the West Bank went largely unnoticed due to the much larger crisis in Gaza, where, in addition to the mass killing of Palestinians, nearly the entire pre-war population of 2. 3 million people were uprooted and displaced.

Settler attacks

Palestinians across the occupied West Bank now say that settlers are stepping up attacks in coordination with the Israeli army to confiscate and seize more land.

On January 20, settlers violently attacked two villages in the northern West Bank, Funduq and Jinasfut, as well as villages further south in Masafer Yatta and around Ramallah.

The settlers set homes and cars ablaze and beat up Palestinians under the full protection and watchful eye of the Israeli army, according to local rights groups.

However, the head of the Israeli army’s Central Command, General Avi Bluth, said in a statement that any “violent riot harms security and the army will not allow it”.

The attacks came during Trump’s inauguration as US president – in one of his first actions as president he reversed sanctions on groups and individuals who the US had previously deemed part of the “extremist settler movement”.

“The aim of the settlers is known,” said Abbas Milhem, the executive director of the Palestinian Farmers Union. “They want to transfer Palestinians outside of the West Bank and annex the land to Israel and impose Israeli law. ”

Ghassan Aleeyan, a Palestinian living in Bethlehem, expressed his frustration to Al Jazeera.

“What these people are doing is illegal, but they don’t care about international law, or Palestinian law or Israeli law,” he told Al Jazeera. “They don’t even care about God’s law. ”

Raid on Jenin

In early December, armed groups in Jenin began clashing with the Palestinian Authority (PA), an administration created as a result of the 1993 Oslo Accords.

The accords jump-started a now-defunct peace process that ostensibly aimed to establish a Palestinian state across the occupied Palestinian territory, with East Jerusalem as its capital.

A key element of the Oslo Accords was tasking the PA with rooting out and disarming armed groups as part of its security coordination with Israel.

But as hopes for statehood faded and Israel entrenched its occupation, a number of neighbourhood armed groups loosely connected with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hamas and even Fatah – the faction in control of the PA – emerged in Palestinian camps across the West Bank.

With the PA unable to crush the armed groups in Jenin camp, Israel launched a major operation on January 21, which has already killed at least 10 people.

Local monitors told Al Jazeera that Israel is justifying its operation under the guise of buttressing Israel’s security and ensuring that another October 7-style assault does not occur, even though the armed groups in the West Bank are far less capable and organised than Hamas in Gaza.

“We believe Israel’s plan is to attack the north of the West Bank in the same way it did during the second Intifada when it invaded Palestinian camps,” said Murad Jadallah, a human rights monitor with al-Haq, a Palestinian rights group.

Israel previously occupied the Jenin camp for 10 days in 2002, destroying about 400 houses and displacing about a quarter of the residents during the second Intifada in 2002, according to the UN Palestinian refugee agency (UNRWA).

Mustafa, from the ICG, believes Israel will conduct more incursions and major military operations across the West Bank in the coming days in an attempt to crush all forms of resistance.

“The battlefield is about to shift from Gaza to the West Bank,” she said.

What does the future of Syria hold after the fall of the Assad regime?

Today on The Stream:  We ask Syrians  what they think the future holds following the fall of the Assad regime.

It’s been six weeks since  rebels captured the capital Damascus and  Bashar al-Assad left the country. We turn to the voices of those who’ve lived through the 13-year  conflict and ask  what a free Syria looks like.

Presenter: Anelise Borges

Iran says Swiss national who died in custody photographed military sites

Tehran, Iran – Iran’s judiciary says the Swiss national who died in an Iranian prison earlier this month was arrested after taking photographs at sensitive military sites.

Judiciary spokesperson Asghar Jahangir told reporters during a news conference on Wednesday that the unnamed man entered Iran through the Dogharoun border crossing with Afghanistan in northeastern Razavi Khorasan Province last year.

His vehicle had “a variety of technical equipment with difficult uses” and he entered as a tourist, Jahangir said.

Swiss officials, who had previously confirmed the man’s death, had identified him as a 64-year-old who had been visiting the country as a tourist. They said he had been living in Southern Africa and had not resided in Switzerland for nearly two decades.

The Iranian judiciary spokesperson said on Wednesday that the man was born in Namibia, held Swiss citizenship, and entered in the Iranian calendar month of Mehr, which ended on October 21.

“The person entered the province of Semnan after passing through several provinces, and was arrested in a prohibited military site while photographing it. He was arrested on charges of photographing restricted resources and cooperation with a hostile government and was moved to prison. At the same time, the Swiss embassy in Tehran was informed. ”

Iran has said that the unnamed Swiss national died by suicide while jailed.

Jahangir said that on January 9, the Swiss national cut off electricity to his cell and killed himself in an area of the cell that was not visible to the prison’s camera system. Attempts to revive him failed.

The spokesperson said a delegation from the Swiss embassy, which comprised a trusted doctor, was invited to the site.

“They examined the body and confirmed the suicide. The body was moved to the coroner’s office in Tehran and handed over in the presence of representatives from the Swiss embassy,” Jahangir said.

For Trudeau’s successor, safeguarding Canada’s economy a ‘daunting’ task

The return of United States President Donald Trump to the White House has delivered a jolt to the stewards of Canada’s $2. 1 trillion economy.

Already buffeted by domestic pressures such as stagnating growth and a housing crisis, Ottawa is now facing the threat of tariffs from the US, its biggest trading partner.

Trump’s promise to steer the US on a protectionist course sets up hefty challenges for whoever replaces Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the country’s deeply unpopular outgoing leader, before national elections that could be held as early as May, economists say.

“It’s a daunting task for whoever takes over from Trudeau because from there it’s a short ramp for an early election call,” Tony Stillo, director of Canada Economics at Oxford Economics, told Al Jazeera.

“It’s very tough. The electorate looks ready for a change and Trudeau may shore up popular support for the Liberal Party with a new face, but it may not be enough. ”

While tariffs barely got a mention in Trump’s inaugural speech on Monday, any hope of a reprieve was banished hours later when he announced that he could impose a 25-percent tariff on Canada and Mexico as soon as February 1.

“What happens to Canadian exports in case of a tariff war with the US – that’s a huge determinant of economic outcomes as 80 percent of our exports go to the US and that’s an awful lot of vulnerability,” Lars Olsberg, an economics professor at Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia, told Al Jazeera.

Canada’s exports to the US alone make up about 20 percent of its gross domestic product (GDP).

A 25-percent tariff would have a “significant” effect on the Canadian economy, potentially triggering a recession, Stephen Brown, deputy chief North America economist at Capital Economics, told Al Jazeera.

Brown said, however, that Trump’s tariff threats could be posturing to gain leverage in negotiations over the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement, which is up for review next year. Trump is a negotiator and “will look for concessions so he can say he’s got a good deal”, Brown said.

Trump has been clear that there are three areas of concern with regard to Canada: the trade deficit, border security and Canada’s relatively low defence spending in NATO.

Ottawa could deal with those in one stroke if it chose to buy more defence equipment from the US, Brown said, which enable it to meet NATO spending targets and boost security on the border.

Canadian officials also have some leverage since the country provides about 20 percent of the crude oil consumed south of the border and could theoretically shut off supplies, he said.

Last week, Canadian Foreign Minister Melanie Joly told reporters that Ottawa was ready to respond to tariffs.

“And we are ready for a second round and we are ready for a third round,” Joly said.

After Trump’s Monday night comments, Canada’s Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc said it would be “a mistake” for the US to proceed with tariffs.

“It would be a mistake in terms of the cost of living in the United States, in terms of jobs in the United States, the security of supply chains,” LeBlanc said.

A North American trade war would deal a “body blow” to the US economy, resulting in slower growth and higher inflation, unemployment and petrol prices, Oxford Economics said in a note on Tuesday.

That said, there is also the reality of a “lame duck” prime minister who will have to deal with the US administration, Stillo said.

Domestic pressures

Trump aside, Trudeau and his Liberal Party are under pressure on the domestic front amid widespread discontent about unaffordable housing and the state of public services such as child care and healthcare.

Another drag on the government’s popularity has been the carbon tax, which has become a rallying cry of the opposition Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre.

Introduced in 2019 to spur the transition to cleaner energy, the tax has risen four-fold to 80 Canadian dollars ($55. 5) per tonne and is scheduled to reach 170 Canadian dollars ($118) by 2030.

To that effect, opposition leader Poilievre has pledged to “axe the tax”.

While a repeal of the tax would reduce petrol pump prices by 25 cents per litre, scrapping the carbon pricing scheme would also halt rebates provided to eligible individuals and families to offset the cost of higher fuel prices.

“While the net impact on the majority households will likely also be a wash, it will vary for individual households depending on their specific driving habits,” Stillo said.

Then there is immigration.

While immigration helped Canada’s population grow by about 1 percent on average each year over the past decade, the number of residents surged 3. 2 percent between 2023 and 2024, the biggest annual rise since the 1950s.

Blamed for exacerbating pressures on Canada’s housing, healthcare and education, Trudeau in October announced a sharp cut in the migrant intake, upending many lives and business plans in the process.

“One of the tragedies of the Trudeau period is that the consensus on immigration is looking pretty shaky,” said Dalhousie University’s Osberg.

In an October poll released by the Environics Institute for Survey Research, 58 percent of Canadians said the country accepts too many immigrants, up 14 percentage points since 2023. That followed a 17 percentage point increase between 2022 and 2023.

The rise in negative sentiment toward immigration over the two-year period was the most rapid change since the Environics Institute began asking the question in 1977, the institute said.

The results also showed that the proportion of Canadians who say there is too much immigration reached its largest since 1998.

While anti-immigration political parties have made little headway, an increasing number of Canadians are for the first time expressing doubts about who is being admitted to the country and how well they are integrating into Canadian society.

For years, Canada focused its immigration policy on skilled migrants, Olsberg said, except for a brief period after the COVID pandemic when small businesses complained they couldn’t find workers.

“Now you have people working in [coffee chain] Tim Hortons and [department store] Canadian Tire on temporary worker visas. Those are permanent jobs, but now you’re stuck with the consequences,” he said.

Some of the policy changes on immigration are already starting to trickle down to the economy including the reduced number of temporary resident visas being issued. Along with looser mortgage lending rules, housing availability is easing up and rents are starting to drop.

In addition to a slowdown in immigration that has helped drive growth, the next government will also face longstanding structural problems, including low productivity and weak business investment, experts said.

“Increasing inequality and increasing insecurity creates a lot of anger and anxiety,” said Olsberg.

Prince Harry settles legal claim against Rupert Murdoch’s UK newspapers

Prince Harry has claimed a “monumental” victory over Rupert Murdoch’s UK newspaper group, after it made an unprecedented apology for intruding into his private life for more than a decade.

Harry, the younger son of King Charles, was suing News Group Newspapers (NGN), publisher of The Sun and the now-defunct News of the World, for unlawfully obtaining information about him between 1996 and 2011.

“In a monumental victory today, News UK have admitted that The Sun, the flagship title for Rupert Murdoch’s UK media empire, has indeed engaged in illegal practices,” Harry and his co-claimant Tom Watson, a former lawmaker, said in a statement on Wednesday.

“Today the lies are laid bare. Today, the cover-ups are exposed. And today proves that no one stands above the law. The time for accountability has arrived” said the statement read by Harry’s lawyer, David Sherborne, outside the High Court.

NGN offered a “full and unequivocal apology to the Duke of Sussex for the serious intrusion … into his private life,” Sherborne said.

The publisher also apologised for intruding on the life of Harry’s mother, the late Princess Diana.

NGN agreed to pay Harry “substantial damages”.

It has now settled more than 1,300 claims – including with celebrities and politicians – without going to trial, spending more than 1 billion pounds ($1. 24 billion) in payouts and legal fees.

The trial to consider Harry’s case, and a similar lawsuit from former MP Tom Watson, had been due to start on Tuesday. But after a one-day delay, the two sides reached an out-of-court settlement.

“This represents a vindication for the hundreds of other claimants who were strong-armed into settling without being able to get to the truth of what was done to them,” Sherborne said outside the High Court in London.

In a statement, an NGN spokesperson said its apology was for the unlawful actions of private investigators working for The Sun, not of its journalists.