According to a database that records these incidents, the United States has experienced the lowest number of mass killings in 2025 in 20 years.
The Associated Press, which maintains the database alongside USA Today and Northeastern University, reported on Tuesday that a recent shooting at a family gathering in Stockton, California, left four people dead. This was the 17th mass killing this year.
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That figure is down nearly 59 percent from the previous year, when a record number of mass killings took place, even though it may still rise in December.
Mass killings, defined as incidents where four or more people intentionally killed themselves within a 24-hour period, without including any offender, are tracked by the database using police and FBI reports, media articles, and court records.
Regression to the mean
The database’s manager, a criminologist at Northeastern University, James Alan Fox, reported to AP that the database’s tally for 2025 had decreased by about 24 percent from that of 2024, which in turn had decreased by about 20 percent from 2023.
He claimed that the decline in crime rates was most likely a result of a “regression to the mean” — a return to more typical crime levels after an unusually high prior year.
“Will 2026 see a decline”? Fox stated. “I wouldn’t bet on it,” he said.
The figures may be volatile because the database tracked a rare phenomenon, according to Metropolitan State University professor James Densley.
A small change could appear like a wave or a collapse because there are only a few dozen mass killings per year, he claimed, when it was actually a return to more typical levels.
“2025 looks really good in historical context, but that doesn’t mean the issue is over,” said one analyst.
improved response times for mass casualties
However, he said that some factors may be causing the decline, such as a decline in violent and homicide crimes, which reached their highest level during the COVID-19 pandemic.
He claimed that improvements to the response to mass casualty incidents may also be a factor.
He cited a shooting that occurred in August while attending a mass at a Minnesota school, which would not have been documented because there were only two fatalities.
According to him, “the only deaths that were caused by the first responders’ bleeding control and trauma response” and that the fact that the shooting “surfered at some of the best children’s hospitals in the country” also contributed.
While there are no longer any gun violence and associated deaths in the US, according to Eric Madfis, a professor of criminal justice at the University of Washington-Tacoma, “we still have incredibly high rates and numbers of mass shootings compared to anywhere else in the world.”
In the US, firearms were involved in about 82 percent of all mass murders in 2025.
In response to growing pressure over potential US military action against Venezuela, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro addressed supporters at a rally in Caracas.
Hong Kong’s leader said an independent committee will be established to investigate the cause of the city’s deadliest fire in decades, which killed at least 151 people and left almost 80 injured.
John Lee, the chief executive of the Chinese-administered region, pledged on Tuesday to overcome vested interests and pursue accountability for the fire, which ripped through seven tower blocks in the Wang Fuk Court housing complex where more than 4,600 people lived in the city’s Tai Po district.
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“In order to avoid similar tragedies again, I will set up a judge-led independent committee to examine the reason behind the cause and rapid spreading (of the fire) and related issues,” Lee told reporters.
“We must uncover the truth, ensure that justice is served, let the deceased rest in peace and provide comfort to the living,” he said.
Asked by a reporter why he should continue in his job after such a disaster had unfolded in the city, Lee said reform was needed.
“Yes, we have identified failures in different stages. That is exactly why we must act seriously to ensure that all these loopholes are plugged so that those who are responsible will be accountable,” Lee said.
“The shortcomings will be addressed. The bottlenecks will be addressed and we will reform the whole building renovation system. To ensure that such things will not happen again,” he added.
The fire started last Wednesday afternoon around scaffolding that had been set up at the housing complex for maintenance work on the high-rise buildings.
Authorities suspect high winds and substandard plastic mesh and insulation foam used during the renovations prompted the rapid spread of the blaze, which overwhelmed firefighting efforts.
Lee said those responsible for the renovations had mixed substandard protective netting with authorised netting “so as to cheat the inspection”. Fire alarms at the complex were also not working properly, officials have said.
Residents told of ‘relatively low fire risks’
Investigators have completed their search and examination of all but two of the seven burned-out towers, finding bodies of residents in stairwells and on rooftops, trapped as they tried to flee the flames. About 30 people are still missing.
Hong Kong police have arrested 13 people for suspected manslaughter in a growing criminal investigation into the fire, while an anticorruption body has arrested 12 people in probes related to the tragedy.
Residents of Wang Fuk Court were told by authorities last year that they faced “relatively low fire risks” after complaining about fire hazards posed by the renovations, the city’s Labour Department said, including about the potential flammability of the mesh that contractors used to cover the scaffolding.
Tests on several samples of a green mesh that was wrapped around bamboo scaffolding on the buildings at the time of the blaze did not meet fire-retardant standards, officials overseeing the investigations told a news conference on Monday.
The city’s Chief Secretary for Administration Eric Chan said contractors working on the renovations had used substandard materials in hard-to-reach areas, hiding them from inspectors.
Amid a huge outpouring of grief in the city as well as calls for accountability, local media have reported the arrests of several people who were making this call.
Miles Kwan, a 24-year-old student, was reportedly arrested by police for “seditious intent” after handing out flyers demanding a government review of construction oversight in the city. Kwan was released on Monday, according to reports. Two other people, including a former district councillor, were also taken in by police, according to local media reports.
Hong Kong student Miles Kwan, 24, part of a group that launched a petition demanding an independent probe into possible corruption and a review of construction oversight over a deadly fire at the Wang Fuk Court housing complex, left a police station in a taxi on Monday. https://t.co/dcSK6GIbma pic.twitter.com/5E2qNKumDA
Asked about the arrests of people demanding action, Lee said he would “not tolerate any crimes, particularly crimes that exploit the tragedy that we have been facing now”.
Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch issued statements criticising the reported arrests of those calling for accountability.
“Now is the time for the Hong Kong authorities to transparently investigate the causes of the devastating fire … rather than silencing those who ask legitimate questions,” Amnesty International said.
Human Rights Watch’s Asia Director Elaine Pearson said authorities in Hong Kong should “not treat those demanding answers for the tragic fire as criminals”.
China’s national security office issued a statement warning those who would use the disaster to “plunge Hong Kong back into the chaos” of 2019 – when huge pro-democracy protests challenged Beijing and triggered a political crisis.
“We sternly warn the anti-China disruptors who attempt to ‘disrupt Hong Kong through disaster’,” the office said in a statement.
As member state unpaid dues rise to $ 1.59 trillion, according to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, the UN’s budget will shrink by 15.1 percent and staff will shrink by 18.8 percent in 2026.
The UN chief released the budget for the following year on Monday, which he had set at $ 3.24 billion, a $ 577 million reduction from 2025.
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According to a separate UN statement, the shortfall was caused by unpaid taxes from the United States, China, Russia, and Mexico as of September.
Due to the high demand in Palestine, Guterres claimed that the UNRWA budget will remain unaffected.
According to Guterres, “I made the decision to exempt UNRWA from any reductions that would have significant effects on the backbone of the entire humanitarian response in Gaza.” He added that the “Development Account and advocacy for Africa’s development” budget will remain at its 2025 level.
He said the UN will fill the void by reducing 2, 681 positions across multiple UN organizations, which “corespond to functions that, in our opinion, can be done better by others or can be reduced by efficiencies.”
According to the secretary-general, about 18% of UN posts are already vacant because of the country’s ongoing liquidity crisis, which includes unpaid member debts and other debts. He continued, “They are not necessarily related to the positions that have been targeted for cuts.”
Because of the liquidity crisis, he claimed, “Those vacancies do not correspond to a political decision based on a strategic priority, but simply by the fact that people have left and that we have the resources to pay for the replacement.”
He claimed that special political missions’ budget will be reduced from $ 149.5 million to $ 54.6% in 2026, which is a decrease from $ 149.5 million or 21.6 percent from the previous year.
Some missions will be closed, while others will be reduced, by reducing other ongoing operations.
The UN’s presence in New York, which is also among the world’s most expensive commercial real estate, has gradually decreased. This is where the UN headquarters is located.
Between New Delhi and Srinagar, the largest city in Indian-administered Kashmir, on frequent flights, Salman Shahid travels. He runs Rise, a private coaching centre for students aspiring to join the Indian Institutes of Technology – the country’s premier engineering schools – in Srinagar, but his family is based in New Delhi.
He saves time by flying. But increasingly, he just cannot afford it.
A one-way flight from Srinagar to New Delhi would cost him roughly 3,300 rupees ($37.20) on average before the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Shahid. “Now, the same ticket is over 5, 000 rupees ($56), and that, too, with very limited time options”, he points out.
His travel schedule has been significantly impacted by this 50% increase in airfare. “I don’t travel that frequently now”, he says. I used to travel on at least four round-trips each month, before that. Now, it’s come down to just two”.
He recalls purchasing a ticket on Vistara, a domestic airliner, for only 1,700 rupees (19) during a 2019 sale. “That kind of pricing now feels like a dream”, he says, adding that he struggles to understand how airfare has escalated so sharply in such a short period.
He is not at risk.
According to a study published last November by Airports Council International (ACI), a global trade association representing more than 2, 000 airports in more than 180 countries, India saw a 43 percent rise in domestic airfares in the first half of 2024, compared with 2019, the second-highest in the Asia Pacific and West Asia regions after Vietnam.
Additionally, international prices increased by 16%. India was third in this category. ACI, a management consulting firm with a focus on the aviation and airports sector, in partnership with Flare Aviation Consulting, a study examining 617 airports in the Asia Pacific and West Asia, attributes this increase to high demand, limited competition on some routes, and a 38 percent increase in aviation turbine fuel (ATF) costs since 2019 in a study conducted by ACI in partnership with ACI.
Prices rose from 68, 050 rupees ($759) per kilolitre in cities like Delhi in January 2019 to 93, 766 rupees ($1, 046) per kilolitre in October 2025. Flights are being increased even more as airlines recover from pandemic losses.
And even though there is no comprehensive study capturing fare trends in 2025, yet, experts say prices have continued to rise throughout the year.
The chairperson of the Aviation Cargo Federation of Aviation Industry in India (FAII), a government-recognised organization that promotes India’s aviation sector, said, “Airfares aren’t coming down, they are only going up.”
“The relentless increase in airfare does not reflect well on the accessibility of aviation in India”, Singh added, cautioning that the middle and economically weaker sections of society may soon find themselves excluded from the air travel landscape altogether.
A travel agent’s office in Srinagar, Indian-administered Kashmir [Aatif Ammad/Al Jazeera], Sajad Ismail Sofi.
‘ Hollow catchphrase ‘
The UDAN scheme, which the Indian Prime Minister’s government referred to as, was launched in October 2016; the acronym stands for Ude Desh ka Aam Nagrik (Let the Common Citizen Fly). The term is used in Hindi. The stated aim of the scheme was to dramatically expand India’s aviation infrastructure, and open up dozens of new routes to make air travel accessible to lower-income Indians and people in smaller towns and cities.
In April 2017, Modi flagged off the first flight under the scheme, saying, “I want to see people flying in a hawai jahaaz [airplane].”
His comments effectively became a slogan for the campaign, touted as the government’s bid to make flying affordable and accessible for millions of people from small-town India, many of whom cannot even afford shoes.
However, Singh said that the phrase now has an ironic undertone.
“With fares escalating consistently over the past few years, this inspiring slogan now risks becoming a hollow catchphrase rather than a lived reality”.
India’s airports increased from 74 in 2014, when Modi took office, to 157 in 2024, a rapid increase in the number of cities and towns that are connected by air.
But the numbers mask a deeper crisis that afflicts Indian aviation, experts say. The total number of travelers in India has remained high despite the increasing number of flights and routes, despite the fact that many individual passengers are reducing air travel as a result of the rising prices.
The country is the world’s third-largest domestic aviation market, and witnessed a 15 percent increase in air passengers, year-on-year, in the 2024 financial year, according to government figures.
Even in the data, there are indications of turbulence, despite the data. Domestic air traffic dipped to 12.6 million passengers in July 2025, compared with 13.1 million in June 2025. The figure increased to 13.2 million in August, but it dropped to 14.3 million in October before rising to 14.3 million in October.
Rohit Kumar, an aviation economist and a faculty member at Rajiv Gandhi National Aviation University, said that while passenger numbers have not fallen, “the rise in fares has quietly pushed the lower and lower-middle classes out of the skies”. Upper-middle-class travelers who value time over cost are continuing to increase overall passenger numbers thanks to new airports, expanded routes, and increased airline travel.
Kumar added that the remote working culture that many technology and service-driven industries in India have continued to embrace since the pandemic has allowed employees to travel more frequently than before. He claimed that this has increased higher-income professionals’ sporadic air travel.
However, despite year-on-year growth, the sector remains deeply unequal. Kumar remarked that the majority of India’s aviation sector is being carried by a small, wealthy section, while the majority of new flyers, who were intended to serve by the UDAN scheme, are being left behind.
Singh of the FAII was even more blunt.
She said, “Those who wear chappals, the very people to whom the]Modi] slogan refers are now being priced out of the skies.”
An aircraft of India’s SpiceJet airlines takes off in Mumbai, India, Sunday, August 7, 2022]Rafiq Maqbool/AP]
Monopolistic trends: what are they?
More routes are not the only factor allowing airlines to keep raising fares, even if they are pricing out many passengers. They are also helped by reducing competition.
In recent years, several major airlines have shut down, while others have merged after acquisitions.
Go First, which previously held 52 aircraft and more than 10% of India’s domestic and international markets, ceased operations in May 2023 as a result of its bankruptcy filing. Jet Airways, with a 21 percent market share and 124 aircraft at its 2016 peak, halted operations in 2019.
Due to mounting debt, legal issues, and grounded aircraft, SpiceJet teetered on the verge of bankruptcy, especially between 2022 and 2024. In July 2022, the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), India’s aviation regulator, cut SpiceJet operations by 50 percent. According to the DGCA, “poor internal safety oversight and inadequate maintenance actions” are to be found. SpiceJet also faced significant delays, with a reported on-time performance (OTP) of 54.8 percent in January 2025, making it the least punctual airline among major carriers at the time.
Due to the lease defaults, SpiceJet’s fleet shrunk from 118 in 2019 to just 28 operational planes by January 2025, which also led to aircraft repossessions.
“The back-to-back shutdown of airlines in India severely impacted air travel, paving the way for monopolistic trends”, said Singh. She continued, “Dominating airlines can dictate prices and raise them at their discretion because there are fewer players in the skies.”
In another major shake-up, Air India, India’s only public sector airline, was officially privatised in January 2022, when the Tata Group took over full ownership.
In November 2024, Vistara, an airline that Tata and Singapore Airlines jointly owned, was combined with Air India. The merger raised concerns and faced strong opposition from critics, including trade unions and opposition parties, who feared that the consolidation of Air India, Vistara, and AirAsia India – another Tata Group subsidiary also merged with the other two – would lead to an aviation oligopoly, reducing competition and consumer choice in the Indian market.
The merger, according to Zuhaib Rashid, an economics and research associate at the Isaac Centre for Public Policy in New Delhi, left only two private players in charge of India’s skies, posing a significant threat to competition.
The only other major aviation player in India today is Indigo, which has 61 percent market share. Today, IndiGo and Air India jointly control 91 percent of the Indian airline industry.
Rashid argued that, had the government retained a stake in Air India, it could have ensured fare regulation. He continued, “Fully privatizing airlines has reduced government control over pricing and allowed private players to rule in a nation where air travel is still a luxury.”
Their dominance of the market also allows Air India and Indigo to jack up prices dramatically , during peak travel seasons or emergencies, tour operators and experts say, citing two recent examples.
A Srinagar-based air travel agent, Sajad Ismail Sofi, referred to the aftermath of the deadly April 2014 attack on tourists in Pahalgam, a well-known resort town in Indian-administered Kashmir, which resulted in the deaths of 26 civilians. As tourists in other parts of Kashmir scrambled to leave the region, one-way ticket prices from Srinagar to other parts of India skyrocketed from 5, 000 rupees ($56) to nearly 12, 000 rupees ($135).
Prices dropped after airlines were heavily criticized and accused of profiteering from a national crisis.
Earlier in the year, Singh from the FAII recalled, one-way airfares from India’s financial capital, Mumbai, to the temple town of Prayagraj soared to 50, 000 rupees ($564) – more expensive than flights to Paris – during the Mahakumbh Mela, one of Hinduism’s most sacred events in which devotees take dips in the Ganga river. In the end, the government intervened to impose price controls on airlines. However, Singh said that most pilgrims had already bought their tickets by then.
Indigo and Air India have been accused of using their market dominance to charge exorbitant rates and have requested comment from them. Neither airline has responded.
May 11, 2012, at the Indira Gandhi airport in New Delhi, India. [Mustafa Quraishi/AP Photo]
Higher taxes adding to the burden
According to experts, airlines are not to blame for the rising fares. India’s high aviation taxes are a key factor too.
The country levies the most high taxes on ATF, which accounts for 45% of air ticket prices in Asia. By mid-2024, jet fuel prices in cities like Delhi and Mumbai were nearly 60 percent higher than in global hubs like Dubai, Singapore, and Kuala Lumpur, largely due to value-added taxes (VAT), central excise duties and additional cesses.
A user development fee, which ranges from 150 rupees ($1.7) to 400 rupees ($4.5), an airport passenger service fee of about 150 rupees ($1.7), an airport terminal fee of 100 rupees ($1.2), a regional connectivity fee of 50 rupees ($0.6) and 100 rupees ($1.2) per passenger, are also included in the cost of the tickets. Each of these amounts is small, but together, they add up. They instead travel to the airport or the government, not the airline.
In June, the International Air Transport Association (IATA), which represents more than 350 airlines globally, called for greater clarity in India’s taxation system, arguing that it was too complex.
Travel agent from New Delhi, Amjad Ali, claimed to have been in the airline industry since 2005 and had never seen a significant increase in airfares until 2020. “Fares used to increase gradually, but since 2020, they have shot up rapidly”, he said.
Ali typically purchases tickets from destinations like Delhi-Mumbai, Delhi-Patna, and Delhi-Purnea. Patna and Purnea are cities in the eastern Indian state of Bihar.
He claimed that the introduction of new routes has resulted in more passengers arriving at new airports like Purnea. Before the pandemic, a Mumbai–Delhi ticket, booked well in advance, used to cost about 3, 800 rupees ($43), but now, it is hard to find one below 6, 000 rupees ($68) for the same journey.
In addition, some airlines have begun reducing the discounts they used to offer some customers. Previously, Air India offered a 50 percent concession on the base fare for domestic student travel, but after privatisation, this was reduced to only 10 percent.
According to Ali, there is a discernible decline in student travel. “We rarely see students flying these days”, he said.
In the end, according to Singh from the FAII, the industry was shooting itself in the foot by making flying unaffordable for millions of Indians.
“If we want air travel to become truly accessible to a larger section of the population, particularly those with limited financial means, the government and aviation stakeholders must work towards reducing these taxes and surcharges”, she said.