‘England are the Super League of Europe’ – how Premier League is dominating elite

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English clubs appear to be bossing things in Europe as, for the second time in this season’s Champions League, five sides from the Premier League won in a single round of fixtures.

Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, Newcastle and Tottenham all won their games this week, with the first four of those sides now sitting inside the top eight – the positions they need to be in to qualify automatically for the knockouts.

Only Chelsea failed to take all three points as they were held to a surprising 2-2 draw by Qarabag on Wednesday, but they are still handily placed at the halfway stage of the group stage as they sit 12th.

Before this season the Champions League had never seen five teams from one country all win in a single round of matches. Now teams from England have managed it twice.

“In five years’ time we will look at this period of the next five years as the domination of England, I don’t see it any other way,” Spanish football journalist Guillem Balague told BBC Sport.

“Bayern are doing really, really well and they can disrupt that. PSG will have their moments, I think Barcelona and Real Madrid are lagging behind, but there is nobody else.”

Why are English teams doing so well?

Arsenal are hoping to win the Champions League for the first time and, while it is still early days, they have made a hugely encouraging start.

Themselves, Bayern Munich and Inter Milan are the only sides with a perfect record so far in the league phase, sitting joint top with 12 points from a possible 12.

As well as keeping a clean sheet in each of their four games so far they have also scored 11 goals – a scoring record bettered only by Bayern Munich, Paris St-Germain (both 14), Borussia Dortmund (13) and Barcelona (12).

Collectively, English teams are outperforming those from other countries, winning 17 of their 24 games, scoring a total of 56 goals – 14 more than any others – and conceding just 17, a record only bettered by teams from France, who have three clubs in the competition compared to six from England.

So why are English teams doing so well?

A significant factor is the financial muscle they are able to flex compared to teams from the rest of Europe, enabling them to spend more on transfer fees and wages to attract the best talent.

This summer, Premier League clubs outlaid more than ever before in the transfer window as spending surpassed £3bn.

To highlight just how much financial power Premier League clubs have over elsewhere in Europe, the total spent this year was more than was spent by Bundesliga, La Liga, Ligue 1 and Serie A clubs combined.

More money means clubs can invest in bigger squads, with Arsenal seeing the benefits of spending big this summer to increase their strength in depth as they lead the way in the Premier League and sit joint-top of the league standings in the Champions League.

“Obviously in a knockout competition anything can happen but in terms of money, talent, coaching, facilities and even the talent in the offices, England are the super league of Europe,” Balague added.

Could a record number of English clubs progress?

This is the first Champions League season to feature six clubs from one nation and history will be made if all six of England’s representatives go through.

Back in 2017, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Tottenham all progressed, making England the first country to have five teams in the knockouts of the competition.

However just two of those sides – Liverpool and Manchester City – got beyond the last 16, while the Reds went all the way to final after knocking City out in the quarter-finals.

In the final, Liverpool were beaten by Real Madrid.

According to Opta’s predictions, Arsenal have a 99.8% chance of progressing to the knockouts, with Manchester City on 97.4% and Liverpool on 95.5%.

However, the predictions model is a little less confident over the automatic progress of the other three sides with Newcastle on 82%, Chelsea on 80.8% and Tottenham on 72%.

Former Liverpool midfielder Stephen Warnock told BBC Sport: “I’d say at the moment it is [significant what English teams are doing], but it doesn’t matter what goes on at the moment because we saw what happened last year, when Liverpool were dominating and finished top of the league stage – and then they were suddenly knocked out by PSG who had been rubbish up until then.

Which other teams are doing well?

Harry Kane celebrates scoring in the Champions LeagueAFP via Getty Images

Bayern Munich, led by the in-form Harry Kane, boast a perfect record so far in the league phase.

No team has scored more than their 14 goals so far – with Kane accounting for five of those – while they have conceded just three.

It is currently mostly the usual suspects occupying the top eight slots – the positions sides need to finish to qualify automatically for the knockouts – with Inter Milan, Paris St-Germain and Real Madrid joining Bayern and the four English sides in those positions.

What will likely be needed to reach knockouts?

Taking last season – the first to utilise the league phase format – as a barometer for what is needed to finish in the top eight, then around 16 points from the eight games should be sufficient.

It means teams are likely going to need to win five of their eight games, which this season’s Premier League sides are on course to achieve.

There is a lot more leeway to secure a play-off place, which goes to the sides who finish between ninth and 24th.

Who has the best chance of going all the way?

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It is still early days but Arsenal’s superb start has them rated as the most likely to go all the way and win the competition.

Opta predictions give them a 23.4% chance of winning the Champions League, while Manchester City are predicted to be the second most-likely English team to reach the final at 12.5%. Liverpool are third favourites from England with 11.3%.

But former Everton midfielder Leon Osman believes the true test of the Premier League teams’ capabilities will come in the knockouts.

He said: “It is great [what English teams are currently doing], but it is only when you then get to the knockout stages, where it is literally one team through and one going home, that is the true test and that is when the big-hitters turn up.”

But Osman added that while it is early days, there could be signs that Premier League teams are now getting the balance right between being able to be competitive at home and abroad.

“We have probably expected this [dominance] for years, but it hasn’t quite materialised before,” he said.

What chance is there of an all-English final?

Of the 31 seasons of at least one English side in the Champions League, 16 of those campaigns have seen every Premier League representative progress beyond the group stage or first group stage.

Of those 16 occasions there have been 11 appearances in the final from English sides, with 2007-08, 2018-19 and 2020-21 having all-English finals.

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Eighty-five changes in 16 games – is Chelsea system working after draw?

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Are Chelsea rotating too much?

The Blues have made multiple line-up changes in all their recent matches and have tweaked the starting XI more than any other Premier League side this season.

But, after they narrowly avoided an embarrassing defeat at Champions League minnows Qarabag, there were those questioning whether they might be overdoing the changes.

On Wednesday, substitute Alejandro Garnacho saved Chelsea by equalising early in the second half, in a chaotic, open 2-2 draw at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku.

Estevao Willian had opened the scoring but mistakes from defender Jorrel Hato saw Leandro Andrade and Marko Jankovic put Qarabag ahead – a shock lead given they are a team worth just £22m, which is less than £1m per squad player.

The Blues, with a squad worth well over £1bn, were particularly poor in the first half, especially compared to the dominant 1-0 win away at Tottenham on Saturday. However, this was a very different starting 11.

Just goalkeeper Robert Sanchez, full-backs Reece James and Marc Cucurella, and forward Joao Pedro started in North London.

It was the fifth-consecutive match across all competitions where manager Enzo Maresca has made at least seven changes to his starting 11. No Premier League club has made more than Chelsea’s 85 changes in 16 matches across all competitions this season.

The constant changing has left Maresca open to criticisms of being too much of a ‘tinkerman’, an unwanted nickname once given to his compatriot Claudio Ranieri at Chelsea.

Defending his approach, Maresca said: “When we make changes it is because we think the plan with the players that start is the correct one.

“I think today, we start in the right way, we score the goal and then, again, we concede two goals that we can avoid. [Also] in their box, for the amount of times that we are there, probably we can be more clinical.

Is inconsistency linked to rotation?

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Both literally and figuratively, you never know which Chelsea is going to turn up.

Chelsea have lurched from negative to positive throughout this campaign, playing well against bigger teams but often not as well against so-called lesser opposition.

In big games, the likes of Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, and Garnacho usually start.

However, Maresca is managing the fitness of all three of those players , as he also is with returning striker Liam Delap. In addition, key players like Cole Palmer and Levi Colwill are injured.

There are further mitigating factors behind the extreme nature of Maresca’s rotation, given Chelsea endured a 13-month season last year, due to winning the Club World Cup in July, which also shortened pre-season to less than two weeks.

The Italian added: “We have players, the intention tonight was to rest Enzo [Fernandez], to rest Moises [Caicedo], to rest Malo [Gusto], to rest more players, because they are not able to play every three days.

“They need recovery from last season, as you say, the Club World Cup affects a lot. We try to rotate when you win, no-one mentioned all that.

“I know that when we don’t win, everyone is focused on that and now I think it’s important to recover energy for Saturday and go again.”

Yet rivals like Spurs and Arsenal have done fewer rotations in the last few weeks, in back-to-back matches, which is surely designed to help build cohesion and consistency despite the differing recent fortunes of the two North London clubs.

Maresca is not helped by the underwhelming performances by some of those coming in.

Alongside Hato, forwards Jamie Gittens and Tyrique George struggled, as did midfielder Andrey Santos, all of them aged 21 or younger, against a brave Qarabag side proving themselves to be Europe’s giant-killers this season having already beaten Benfica and Copenhagen

Midfielder Romeo Lavia also started but pulled up after just four minutes, leaving Chelsea briefllywith 10 men before he was substituted off.

There have to be real concerns about the long-term fitness of the Belgian international signed from Southampton for £53m in 2023.

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‘Chelsea can’t do it in the Champions League’

European football expert Julien Laurens, who analysed the game for Champions League Match of the Day, said: “All the changes worked for them last season but I think tonight showed they can’t expect to do it when they are in the Champions League.

“Doing it and competing in a Champions League and Premier League combo is very different to doing it in a season where you are playing in the Conference League, when you can easily win with your B team.

“Before they won at Spurs on Sunday, they were ninth in the table and not doing that great in the Champions League with two wins and a defeat, but tonight is a bit of a step back, I think.

“With young players like Hato – and Gittens a bit too -even if they have both had some Champions League experience before, you can see that with a lot of young players the Champions League level is a little bit too high.

“You end up with a result like this where you drop points. In the grand scheme of things they will still qualify, we cannot be worried about Chelsea not getting through, but still it does not look good.

“Going forward, I think it will be difficult to manage the two competitions this way. That’s why even [Manchester City manager] Pep Guardiola doesn’t make so many changes, or [Arsenal manager] Mikel Arteta either, even with a much deeper and more experienced squad.

“I think it explains Chelsea’s inconsistency this season.

“That’s one of the reservations I’ve got a bit about Maresca in the way he deals with and manages his whole squad.

“It is a big squad so I understand he wants to keep people fresh, especially after the Club World Cup. I can understand the load management, sure. But making so many changes all the time, we can see it does not help them.

“Today they had to bring on Caicedo for Lavia because of injury but then at half-time, three [key] players have to come on because they are behind.

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FAA to reduce flights by 10 percent as US government shutdown drags on

Beginning Friday morning, the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) announced a 10% reduction in air traffic across 40 “high-volume” markets to ensure safety while the government is in a shutdown.

The agency made the announcement on Wednesday as it struggles with staffing issues brought on by air traffic controllers’ unpaid work and delays across the country.

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The agency, according to FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford, is not going to wait until a problem arises because the shutdown is putting pressure on staff and “we can’t ignore it.”

Later on Wednesday, Bedford and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy will discuss how to safely implement the reduction. They will meet with airline leaders.

Widespread delays

13, 000 air traffic controllers and 50, 000 TSA officers were forced to work unpaid because of the shutdown, which is currently in its 36th day. This has resulted in longer lines at airport security screening, increased staff shortages, and widespread flight delays.

The action aims to relieve air traffic controllers of pressure. If additional air traffic issues arise after Friday, the FAA has also warned that it may impose more restrictions on flights.

Duffy had earlier warned on Tuesday that if the government shutdown lasted for another week, it could cause “mass chaos” and force him to shut down some of the country’s airspace, a drastic move that could end American aviation.

Airlines have repeatedly called for the shutdown to end, citing concerns about aviation safety.

In extended trading, the shares of major airlines, including United Airlines and American Airlines, dropped by about 1%.

Since the shutdown started on October 1st, an industry group estimated that more than 3.2 million passengers have experienced flight delays or cancellations as a result of increasing air traffic controller absences. Legislators have been concerned about the impact on operations from airlines.

Airlines claim that the government shutdown hasn’t had a significant impact on their business, but they’ve warned that if it drags on, bookings may decrease. On Wednesday, there were more than 2,100 delays.

According to FAA’s Bedford, 20 to 40% of controllers at the agency’s 30 largest airports were late arriving for work on Tuesday.

‘I will find a solution’ – Swansea boss Sheehan

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Alan Sheehan insists he will “find a solution” to his side’s attacking failings after defeat at Preston North End on Wednesday left Swansea City with only one win in six Championship matches.

Swansea were beaten 2-1 by the high-flying Lilywhites despite having 18 efforts on goal compared to Preston’s four.

The lack of a cutting edge has been the theme of Swansea’s season, with Sheehan feeling points went begging at Preston just as they had done in last weekend’s draw at Charlton Athletic.

“[It is] the same message as the other day. When we get into those areas, we need to be a bit more clinical, a bit more calm,” the Swansea head coach said.

“That’s the difference between one point and six [this week]. We have been in every single game this year – a lot of our draws have felt like losses.

Preston North End's Liam Lindsay heads the ball under pressure from Swansea City's Adam Idah Getty Images

Swansea fell behind to a stunning Thierry Small goal at Preston before controlling long spells of the game.

Having wasted chances to equalise before half-time, Swansea conceded a second goal on the counter-attack early in the second period before substitute Eom Jisung’s goal gave Sheehan’s team hope 10 minutes from time.

But for all their endeavour, Swansea lacked the quality to find a leveller and suffered a third defeat in their past six league games.

“I think it’s been a tough block [since the October international break],” Sheehan added.

“We didn’t play well against Southampton. We had 10 men for an hour against QPR. We beat Norwich and then in the last two games, we have gone away to top-10 teams at the moment and come away with one point.

“We should be coming away with a lot more than that, I think if everybody’s being fair. I am very frustrated.”

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‘I will find a solution’ – Swansea boss Sheehan

Huw Evans Picture Agency
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Alan Sheehan insists he will “find a solution” to his side’s attacking failings after defeat at Preston North End on Wednesday left Swansea City with only one win in six Championship matches.

Swansea were beaten 2-1 by the high-flying Lilywhites despite having 18 efforts on goal compared to Preston’s four.

The lack of a cutting edge has been the theme of Swansea’s season, with Sheehan feeling points went begging at Preston just as they had done in last weekend’s draw at Charlton Athletic.

“[It is] the same message as the other day. When we get into those areas, we need to be a bit more clinical, a bit more calm,” the Swansea head coach said.

“That’s the difference between one point and six [this week]. We have been in every single game this year – a lot of our draws have felt like losses.

Preston North End's Liam Lindsay heads the ball under pressure from Swansea City's Adam Idah Getty Images

Swansea fell behind to a stunning Thierry Small goal at Preston before controlling long spells of the game.

Having wasted chances to equalise before half-time, Swansea conceded a second goal on the counter-attack early in the second period before substitute Eom Jisung’s goal gave Sheehan’s team hope 10 minutes from time.

But for all their endeavour, Swansea lacked the quality to find a leveller and suffered a third defeat in their past six league games.

“I think it’s been a tough block [since the October international break],” Sheehan added.

“We didn’t play well against Southampton. We had 10 men for an hour against QPR. We beat Norwich and then in the last two games, we have gone away to top-10 teams at the moment and come away with one point.

“We should be coming away with a lot more than that, I think if everybody’s being fair. I am very frustrated.”

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