Verstappen appears to be a Red Bull driver for the foreseeable future and beyond. “Max has a contract until 2028,” according to a Red Bull spokesman.
At the same time, Verstappen and his management have talked with Mercedes about the possibility of moving there next year. Verstappen is likely to be able to leave his Red Bull contract if necessary.
In April, Helmut Marko, a Red Bull motorsport expert, expressed “great concern” about Verstappen’s future in the team given their performance. And in March he told BBC Sport: “We know that if we don’t deliver for Max, all the top drivers have performance clauses in their contract”.
Verstappen believes there are compelling arguments for switching from Red Bull to Mercedes.
With his current team, he has won four consecutive drivers’ titles, but Red Bull has fallen off a pedestal in recent years.
Verstappen built up such a large lead in the first half of last season that he was able to hold off a late challenge from McLaren and Lando Norris with relative comfort.
However, Red Bull haven’t been able to mount a consistent challenge this season despite McLaren’s strong start.
Verstappen has won two victories, but both have come on circuits with primarily quick corners. On balance, the McLaren is the faster car.
Adrian Newey, a design legend at Red Bull, and Jonathan Wheatley, a long-time sports director, were given the opportunity to leave them.
Sergio Perez, a former Red Bull driver who was fired at the end of last year but able to negotiate a deal that required the team to pay him for the two years of his contract, claimed in a podcast this week that Newey’s departure was the direct cause of Red Bull’s decline.
It would be no surprise if, in those circumstances, Verstappen’s confidence in Red Bull’s ability to design a fully competitive car had taken a knock.
Then there are the new regulations that will apply to F1 starting in 2015, which will significantly alter both cars and engines. Particularly significant is the engine change. It increases the proportion of total performance of the engine provided by the electrical components to 50%.
Red Bull has established a new business to create and manufacture its own engine. That was always going to be a challenging task, and Red Bull is struggling while Mercedes are leading the charge in terms of performance with the new engines.