England to bounce back? Brown-Finnis’ Euro 2025 predictions – second group games

  • 22 Comments

Holders England and tournament first-timers Wales both lost their opening games of Euro 2025, but will they bounce back next time out in Group D?

BBC Sport football expert Rachel Brown-Finnis is predicting the outcome of all 31 games in Switzerland.

She got five of the opening eight group matches correct, including the Netherlands’ victory over Wales, but was caught out by the Lionesses’ defeat by France.

You did not see that result coming either, with only 16% of you backing Les Bleues. Like Rachel, you ended up with a score of 5/8 overall, and were also wrong about Finland beating Iceland and Italy getting the better of Belgium.

Will you and Rachel do better next time? You can make your own predictions for the second set of group games below, including England versus the Netherlands, and France against Wales.

Brown-Finnis has also picked her two teams to go through from each group into the knockout stage, and given her reasons why.

She is backing England to win the Euros again, and believes Wales won’t get out of their group.

Group A

What information do we collect from this quiz?

Norway made such a slow start against Switzerland in their opening game but they were unrecognisable in and out of possession in the second half.

They looked like a different team after the break as they fought back from a goal down to beat the hosts, and I feel like they will build on that performance now they know the levels they need to reach.

Finland showed in their win over Iceland that they are well organised at the back and how tough they are to break down, but I still think Norway will find a way through.

What information do we collect from this quiz?

It feels like the tournament has only just got started but this is a huge match for both teams. If the earlier game in Group A finishes in a draw, then whoever loses here is out.

Iceland are the higher-ranked team and they will definitely believe they can get the result they need – but they were held to two draws when they played each other in this year’s Nations League.

Switzerland’s defeat by Norway was a disappointing result for the hosts but I thought they were fantastic in the first half and I don’t think they let their lead slip because of a lack of application or a dip in their performance.

The swing in that game was more down to Norway changing their tactics and the Swiss failing to adapt. Even then, they were a bit unfortunate not to get anything from the game.

If Switzerland can play with the same intensity here then, with the crowd behind them, I think they will have enough quality to get their tournament back on track.

Group B

What information do we collect from this quiz?

Spain were hugely impressive in their 5-0 victory over Portugal. It’s already clear how much better they are this time than they were at the 2022 European Championship, when England beat them in the quarter-finals, and they are only just getting started at this tournament.

Lots of teams have seen changes in personnel since that tournament, and the 2023 World Cup, but none of them have improved to the extent that Spain have.

We saw against Portugal what happens when a team does not adapt at all to the dominant way Spain play – you have to acknowledge you are not going to see much of the ball, sit off them and play on the counter, but Portugal did not really do that and paid the price.

I am not expecting Belgium to make the same mistake, but it is still hard to see them getting anything out of this game. Losing to Italy was a big blow to their hopes of getting out of the group, and this is clearly a much harder task.

Belgium have played Spain four times in the past few months, in the Nations League and in qualifying for these Euros, and lost every time.

A couple of those defeats were heavy ones, but Belgium did cause them a few problems at times too.

I am not sure how close they will get to the world champions this time, but at least they know what to expect.

What information do we collect from this quiz?

Portugal were quite naive against Spain. They have got some quality, but not enough to take risks against the world champions and get a result.

This game is going to be much closer, and I am expecting a reaction from Portugal after seeing the way they have grown over the past couple of tournaments. They know they have to perform here, or they will be going home soon.

Italy may have a bit of a swagger about them after beating Belgium in their first game but they can be quite open themselves at times and I’d be surprised if they find this straightforward.

Group C

What information do we collect from this quiz?

Germany got off to a good start with their win over Poland but losing captain Giulia Gwinn to injury was a big blow, and she will not play again at these Euros.

I still think they have the squad depth to see off Denmark, and they already look composed and like they have found some rhythm, but this won’t be easy.

The Danes badly need to get something out of this game, and Pernille Harder will be desperate to kickstart her tournament after hitting the bar in their defeat against Sweden.

What information do we collect from this quiz?

Poland put in a spirited performance against Germany, but still lost on their debut at a major finals.

It’s hard to see them getting anything here, either. Sweden’s win over Denmark was massive for their hopes of getting out of the group and I am expecting them to get another victory here too.

Like Wales, Poland are finding out that the level of tournament football at a European Championship really is the best of the best.

When you look at the world ranking of the teams here, then Europe is the strongest continent, which is why it’s so hard to get out of your group – let alone go all the way and win it.

For teams who are at their first major finals, it is a case of looking upwards – not just in terms of everyone else’s world rankings, but with factors like experience and confidence too.

Sweden have got lots of know-how at major finals and that should help them get the win they want before they face Germany in their final group game.

Group D

What information do we collect from this quiz?

England started well against France but after having a goal ruled out for offside they were just not good enough in the first half.

The Lionesses improved and dominated possession after the break but still didn’t manage any shots on target until the closing stages.

That defeat means this is a must-win game for them but, if they are going to beat the Netherlands, they will have to be much better at the basics.

Too many simple passes went astray on Saturday night, and we didn’t see the kind of sharp and polished England performance that we have become used to.

We know England can be better, and I do think they will be much improved against the Dutch, but they will have to be careful because Vivianne Miedema looked like she is back to her best with her brilliant goal that broke the deadlock against Wales.

To play this video you need to enable JavaScript in your browser.

Miedema can sometimes look disinterested, or seem uninvolved, but that’s just how she plays – it means she is sometimes underestimated, when she is always dangerous.

I still believe England will rise to the challenge, however, even if manager Sarina Wiegman may have to review the tactics she used against France – they looked much more threatening when Michelle Agyemang came on late on, compared to when Alessia Russo was up top on her own.

When it comes down to games like this, where they have to get the three points, I would always back England and Wiegman to find a way of winning.

What information do we collect from this quiz?

France were worthy winners against England. They got a bit of momentum in the first half, and took control.

Wales will know what to expect after watching that game, because Les Bleues looked pumped, and never gave England any easy possession of the ball at all, but stopping France is a huge ask – they looked fresh and fiery and their intensity and work-rate was simply relentless.

Wales had a way of playing against the Dutch that worked for a while – they defended in numbers, worked hard and pressed hard, and tried to attack on the break when they won the ball back – but they couldn’t sustain it.

They found out the hard way what happens when you give players like Miedema too much space and time on the edge of your area, and if they drop off against France, then their quality will shine through too.

Related topics

  • England Women’s Football Team
  • Wales Women’s Football Team
  • UEFA Women’s EURO
  • Football
  • Women’s Football

Welsh rugby decline gathers pace after loss to Japan

Huw Evans Picture Agency
  • 116 Comments

Summer tour second Test: Japan v Wales

Venue: Noevir (Misaki Park) Stadium, Kobe Date: Saturday, 12 July Kick-off: 06:50 BST

So the depressing decline of Welsh rugby keeps gathering pace.

As the Wales rugby team leave Kitakyushu for a second time in six years, the heady days of 2019 seem a lifetime ago.

When Warren Gatland’s squad departed their training base in the Japanese city back then to concentrate on the World Cup, they were second in the official rankings having been top just a month earlier.

Wales were the recently crowned Six Nations Grand Slam champions and would go on to reach the World Cup semi-finals in Japan before a narrow defeat to eventual winners South Africa.

Contrastingly, Matt Sherratt’s side have departed Kitakyushu to travel to Kobe for the second Test, reflecting on how they relinquished a match-winning position and lost 24-19 to Eddie Jones’ Japan in the first match of the series.

It meant a record 18th consecutive Test defeat, continuing a losing streak that stretches back 21 months.

That is a record for a tier one nation, while Japan also recorded a first victory against tier one opposition for six years.

Finding new ways to lose

To play this video you need to enable JavaScript in your browser.

Wales have now followed up their record 68-14 Six Nations defeat against England in March in Cardiff with only a second loss to Japan.

The previous failure came 12 years ago when Jones was also in charge of Japan but this victory for such an inexperienced Brave Blossoms side was more impressive, and in contrast, more humbling for Wales.

The 2013 defeat for Wales came when they fielded a second-choice side with 15 players away with the British and Irish Lions.

Twelve years on, Wales were closer to a full-strength available squad, with only flanker Jac Morgan and scrum-half Tomos Williams initially picked for the Lions in Australia and a few players rested or injured.

After Williams’ injury during that tour, Morgan is the only representative left in Andy Farrell’s squad to further underline how far Welsh rugby has fallen.

Not many nations would head on a summer tour without a permanent head coach but this is what Wales and the Welsh Rugby Union (WRU) have chosen.

With former head coach Warren Gatland having left the role in February and his successor yet to be appointed, Wales have a fresh coaching staff at the helm for just this trip.

Sherratt has again taken on the interim head coach role before returning to his Cardiff day job next season.

He is backed up by Gethin Jenkins, Danny Wilson and Leigh Halfpenny, while Adam Jones and Rhys Thomas have continued their Six Nations roles.

Players devastated by results sequence

Wales full-back Blair Murray shows his despair after defeat against JapanGetty Images

What can Wales do in less than a week?

The malfunctioning lineout and manner in which Japan gained the upper hand in the scrum, after early Wales dominance, will need to be rectified and questions will be asked on whether replacements could have been introduced sooner.

Sherratt might well reflect on his selection and ponder whether there needs to be changes for next weekend in Kobe.

There might be a chance for fly-half Dan Edwards instead of Sam Costelow. Why scrum-half Rhodri Williams was an unused replacement for Kieran Hardy in the intense heat appears baffling.

Could the Wales caretaker rethink his midfield selection of Johnny Williams alongside Ben Thomas, given the pair are both specialist inside centres?

There has been no consistency in selection throughout the season as Wales are almost hoping they stumble on a winning formula.

For example, Thomas and Williams were the eighth different centre combination in nine games over the 2024-25 campaign.

While the effort and desire is evident, currently the quality or belief is not.

This Wales side have forgotten how to win. In fact, many of the players have never experienced success for their country on the senior stage.

This lack of confidence was glaringly obvious in Kitakyushu as Wales allowed their hosts to recover from a 12-point deficit to inflict further misery on the beleaguered tourists.

The depressing aftermath of these defeats has also become familiar. It continues to be uncomfortable viewing as proud young Welshmen once more experience another loss while representing their country.

Captain Lake looked a broken man afterwards, while seeing inexperienced internationals Tom Rogers and Blair Murray just staring into the abyss after the final whistle was hard to watch.

Faletau class lives on but lack of leaders exposed

Wales number eight Taulupe Faletau is tackled by a Japan defender Getty Images

There were some familiar standout players. Number eight Taulupe Faletau is Wales’ oldest and most experienced performer on this tour at the ripe old age of 34. He also remains the best player, with his class continually shining through.

While wing Josh Adams was also prominent, Faletau continues to be Wales’ leading light as he created two of the three tries for the tourists.

Faletau trudged off slowly during the second half, as he, like many players, appeared to be struggling with the extreme heat, but Sherratt said the veteran forward’s withdrawal was a tactical replacement.

Wales will hope he is fit next weekend because they are an inferior side without him.

It was after the Cardiff forward departed on 56 minutes, when the visitors were leading 19-7, that Japan’s final-quarter flourish occurred.

Faletau is not the most animated character but he leads expertly by example and his absence in the latter stages was noticeable.

It was evident that, while Wales wilted in the extreme conditions late on, there is also a lack of experienced international leaders in the current set-up as the tourists could not stop Japan’s second-half momentum.

Welsh Rugby Union failures

Welsh Rugby Union chief executive Abi Tierney and chair Richard Collier-Keywood pose for photos at a strategy launchHuw Evans Picture Agency

The players and coaches will be scrutinised following another dire defeat, with some brutal comments on social media already on display.

However, the powerbrokers need to take responsibility, with Welsh rugby in freefall on and off the field.

WRU chief executive Abi Tierney has officially been in charge since January 2024, with all 18 international defeats coming on her watch.

She does not pick the team, nor is to blame for why the supply chain of top-class players has dried up in recent years, but should expect questions on why it has taken five months, and counting, to appoint a new head coach.

Tierney, who is in Japan alongside WRU president Terry Cobner, inherited a mess but the demise has intensified during her tenure.

The chief executive and chair Richard Collier-Keywood is responsible for leading the game in Wales which is in disarray across the board.

There has yet been no evidence of strong leadership from the current regime to fix the sinking ship.

New director of rugby Dave Reddin has been tasked with appointing Gatland’s successor in time for the autumn internationals, while Tierney and Collier-Keywood have other matters on their agenda.

The domestic game is in flux with a major debate going on about the future of professional clubs in Wales and suggestions the number of teams could be reduced from four to three, or even two.

The WRU has so far remained publicly tight-lipped on its plans for the Welsh game’s future, which has created more uncertainty among players, coaches and supporters.

So despite what happens next weekend in Kobe, as Wales aim for a first Test victory in what will be 644 days, it will not be the end of Welsh rugby’s turmoil.

A win might provide some short-term respite and a glimmer of hope, with Sherratt saying the squad must channel the hurt from Kitakyushu to fuel their bid to level the series.

But a solitary success will not chase away all the clouds hovering over rugby in Wales. That is the sad reality.

Related topics

  • Welsh Rugby
  • Wales Rugby Union
  • Rugby Union

Welsh rugby decline gathers pace with loss to Japan

Huw Evans Picture Agency
  • 200 Comments

Summer tour second Test: Japan v Wales

Venue: Noevir (Misaki Park) Stadium, Kobe Date: Saturday, 12 July Kick-off: 06:50 BST

So the depressing decline of Welsh rugby keeps gathering pace.

As the Wales rugby team leave Kitakyushu for a second time in six years, the heady days of 2019 seem a lifetime ago.

When Warren Gatland’s squad departed their training base in the Japanese city back then to concentrate on the World Cup, they were second in the official rankings having been top just a month earlier.

Wales were the recently crowned Six Nations Grand Slam champions and would go on to reach the World Cup semi-finals in Japan before a narrow defeat to eventual winners South Africa.

Contrastingly, Matt Sherratt’s side have departed Kitakyushu to travel to Kobe for the second Test, reflecting on how they relinquished a match-winning position and lost 24-19 to Eddie Jones’ Japan in the first match of the series.

It meant a record 18th consecutive Test defeat, continuing a losing streak that stretches back 21 months.

That is a record for a tier one nation, while Japan also recorded a first victory against tier one opposition for six years.

Finding new ways to lose

To play this video you need to enable JavaScript in your browser.

Wales have now followed up their record 68-14 Six Nations defeat against England in March in Cardiff with only a second loss to Japan.

The previous failure came 12 years ago when Jones was also in charge of Japan but this victory for such an inexperienced Brave Blossoms side was more impressive, and in contrast, more humbling for Wales.

The 2013 defeat for Wales came when they fielded a second-choice side with 15 players away with the British and Irish Lions.

Twelve years on, Wales were closer to a full-strength available squad, with only flanker Jac Morgan and scrum-half Tomos Williams initially picked for the Lions in Australia and a few players rested or injured.

After Williams’ injury during that tour, Morgan is the only representative left in Andy Farrell’s squad to further underline how far Welsh rugby has fallen.

Not many nations would head on a summer tour without a permanent head coach but this is what Wales and the Welsh Rugby Union (WRU) have chosen.

With former head coach Warren Gatland having left the role in February and his successor yet to be appointed, Wales have a fresh coaching staff at the helm for just this trip.

Sherratt has again taken on the interim head coach role before returning to his Cardiff day job next season.

He is backed up by Gethin Jenkins, Danny Wilson and Leigh Halfpenny, while Adam Jones and Rhys Thomas have continued their Six Nations roles.

Players devastated by results sequence

Wales full-back Blair Murray shows his despair after defeat against JapanGetty Images

What can Wales do in less than a week?

The malfunctioning lineout and manner in which Japan gained the upper hand in the scrum, after early Wales dominance, will need to be rectified and questions will be asked on whether replacements could have been introduced sooner.

Sherratt might well reflect on his selection and ponder whether there needs to be changes for next weekend in Kobe.

There might be a chance for fly-half Dan Edwards instead of Sam Costelow. Why scrum-half Rhodri Williams was an unused replacement for Kieran Hardy in the intense heat appears baffling.

Could the Wales caretaker rethink his midfield selection of Johnny Williams alongside Ben Thomas, given the pair are both specialist inside centres?

There has been no consistency in selection throughout the season as Wales are almost hoping they stumble on a winning formula.

For example, Thomas and Williams were the eighth different centre combination in nine games over the 2024-25 campaign.

While the effort and desire is evident, currently the quality or belief is not.

This Wales side have forgotten how to win. In fact, many of the players have never experienced success for their country on the senior stage.

This lack of confidence was glaringly obvious in Kitakyushu as Wales allowed their hosts to recover from a 12-point deficit to inflict further misery on the beleaguered tourists.

The depressing aftermath of these defeats has also become familiar. It continues to be uncomfortable viewing as proud young Welshmen once more experience another loss while representing their country.

Captain Lake looked a broken man afterwards, while seeing inexperienced internationals Tom Rogers and Blair Murray just staring into the abyss after the final whistle was hard to watch.

Faletau class lives on but lack of leaders exposed

Wales number eight Taulupe Faletau is tackled by a Japan defender Getty Images

There were some familiar standout players. Number eight Taulupe Faletau is Wales’ oldest and most experienced performer on this tour at the ripe old age of 34. He also remains the best player, with his class continually shining through.

While wing Josh Adams was also prominent, Faletau continues to be Wales’ leading light as he created two of the three tries for the tourists.

Faletau trudged off slowly during the second half, as he, like many players, appeared to be struggling with the extreme heat, but Sherratt said the veteran forward’s withdrawal was a tactical replacement.

Wales will hope he is fit next weekend because they are an inferior side without him.

It was after the Cardiff forward departed on 56 minutes, when the visitors were leading 19-7, that Japan’s final-quarter flourish occurred.

Faletau is not the most animated character but he leads expertly by example and his absence in the latter stages was noticeable.

It was evident that, while Wales wilted in the extreme conditions late on, there is also a lack of experienced international leaders in the current set-up as the tourists could not stop Japan’s second-half momentum.

Welsh Rugby Union failures

Welsh Rugby Union chief executive Abi Tierney and chair Richard Collier-Keywood pose for photos at a strategy launchHuw Evans Picture Agency

The players and coaches will be scrutinised following another dire defeat, with some brutal comments on social media already on display.

However, the powerbrokers need to take responsibility, with Welsh rugby in freefall on and off the field.

WRU chief executive Abi Tierney has officially been in charge since January 2024, with all 18 international defeats coming on her watch.

She does not pick the team, nor is to blame for why the supply chain of top-class players has dried up in recent years, but should expect questions on why it has taken five months, and counting, to appoint a new head coach.

Tierney, who is in Japan alongside WRU president Terry Cobner, inherited a mess but the demise has intensified during her tenure.

The chief executive and chair Richard Collier-Keywood is responsible for leading the game in Wales which is in disarray across the board.

There has yet been no evidence of strong leadership from the current regime to fix the sinking ship.

New director of rugby Dave Reddin has been tasked with appointing Gatland’s successor in time for the autumn internationals, while Tierney and Collier-Keywood have other matters on their agenda.

The domestic game is in flux with a major debate going on about the future of professional clubs in Wales and suggestions the number of teams could be reduced from four to three, or even two.

The WRU has so far remained publicly tight-lipped on its plans for the Welsh game’s future, which has created more uncertainty among players, coaches and supporters.

So despite what happens next weekend in Kobe, as Wales aim for a first Test victory in what will be 644 days, it will not be the end of Welsh rugby’s turmoil.

A win might provide some short-term respite and a glimmer of hope, with Sherratt saying the squad must channel the hurt from Kitakyushu to fuel their bid to level the series.

But a solitary success will not chase away all the clouds hovering over rugby in Wales. That is the sad reality.

Related topics

  • Welsh Rugby
  • Wales Rugby Union
  • Rugby Union

Iconic former White Sox pitcher Jenks dies aged 44

Getty Images

Former Chicago White Sox pitcher Bobby Jenks has died at the age of 44 from a rare form of stomach cancer.

Jenks was a two-time All-Star pitcher for the Chicago White Sox and was part of the team that ended their 88-year wait for a World Series title in 2005.

He threw the final pitch of the match in game four of the series as the White Sox beat the Houston Astros.

“We have lost an iconic member of the White Sox family,” White Sox chairman Jerry Reinsdorf said in a statement.

After six seasons with the White Sox, Jenks finished his career in 2011 with the Boston Red Sox, but played only 19 games because of bone spurs on his spine that hampered nearby nerves and tendons.

Related topics

  • Baseball & Softball

Super League 2.0 – how has netball’s relaunch gone?

Hayley Bavin

A lick of paint or something more substantial? As the first Netball Super League season since its relaunch reaches a climax with Sunday’s Grand Final, what has changed?

Player pay rises averaging about 60% have only led a small contingent to commit to full-time professionalism.

So where is the growth, where might it come next, and what else has been happening?

Big city league, but Lightning strike again

Trimming the league from 10 to eight teams for this season involved controversially cutting sides from Guildford, Bath and Worcester, plus Scotland’s lone representative, Glasgow-based Strathclyde Sirens.

Teams sprung up in Nottingham and Birmingham – Forest and Panthers finishing fifth and sixth respectively – as the league looked to become a big-city operation, with its stronghold in England, given England Netball is the league’s organisers.

Loughborough Lightning are outliers in a sense – a university-based team with a long track record of success.

Bath, also with university ties, enjoyed huge success before losing their place in the elite, but Loughborough surely have greater security. England Netball has its headquarters in the Leicestershire town, and the team continue to set high standards.

Nottingham Forest players in Netball Super League actionBen Lumley

Painful reminders

The season’s opening night served up a cruel reminder that netball players risk serious injury every time they take to the court.

Teams are offering better training facilities and more opportunities to spend time in the gym, but women in sport remain far more susceptible to non-contact serious injuries than men.

That was highlighted when London Mavericks’ Vicki Oyesola crumpled to the court floor after landing a little awkwardly against Cardiff Dragons.

It was the dreaded anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) knee injury, the bane of many a netballer’s career – a season-ender on day one.

NSL says women are six times more likely to sustain such a non-contact injury than men, while a National Ligament Registry study has shown there are only more ACLs suffered by women in skiing than in netball.

More setbacks have followed, with Birmingham Panthers goal shooter Sigi Burger suffering a complete tear of her medial collateral ligament.

Manchester Thunder captain Amy Carter, who is a junior doctor and missed the 2022 season with an ACL injury, explained to BBC Sport why netballers suffer so badly.

“It’s a few different things. Your hips are a little bit wider, your knees are a bit closer together, you’re more likely to do your ACL,” Carter said.

“You’ve got the menstrual cycle to take into account, which can increase your risk when you’re on your period. The nature of the game, the change of directions, the high impact, the stopping still straight away, that can also contribute to it. “

Packing them in

More than 50% of games have been played in major arenas this season and there has been a sharp climb in attendances.

Average regular-season crowds have been estimated at about 1,500 in 2024, and league officials announced there was a 42% rise this year.

For a first season of the so-called NSL 2. 0 era, the rise signals strong progress.

Capital gains for grand finale

The move to switch the Grand Final from Birmingham to London’s O2 reflected an ambition to see netball played in the biggest possible indoor venues.

Big steps – but what about next steps?

To play this video you need to enable JavaScript in your browser.

The introduction of a two-point super shot this season raised eyebrows.

In play for the final five minutes of each quarter, NSL hoped it would lead to closer matches. There was also the prospect it could spark thrilling comebacks or blowout wins.

Some players and coaches liked the idea, some did not. NSL has contentedly reported a 23% increase in games with less than a five-goal winning margin.

Off the court, the Women’s Sport Trust said NSL enjoyed a 524% increase in TikTok views amid a push to connect with potential new fan bases.

But there are issues to examine, with video assistant referee (VAR) technology worthy of ongoing discussion.

Leeds Rhinos were upset when they controversially lost to Birmingham Panthers in May.

Rhinos were beaten 71-69 after extra time but felt they deserved the win in regulation time after what they believed was a two-point super shot was only credited as a one-point shot.

Related topics

  • Netball