Donald Trump, Kamala Harris locked in close election race: WSJ poll

A new Wall Street Journal poll suggests that Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris and her Republican challenger Donald Trump are in a dead-horse race for the presidency of the United States.

In six of the seven battleground states where the next president will be elected, the vice president and former president are within two percentage points of one another, according to the data released on Friday.

In the poll, while Harris led in the states of Arizona, Georgia and Michigan, Trump was ahead in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Nevada. With the exception of Nevada, where Trump is in the WSJ poll by 5%, all the outcomes fall within the margin of error.

Between September 28 and October 8, the newspaper reported conducting a survey of 600 registered voters in each state.

US elections are not won by popular vote nationwide. Instead, candidates compete for votes in individual states.

It resembles a point system, whereby each state is worth a number of points in accordance with its population size. The winner receives all the electoral college votes in all but two states, including Nebraska and Maine.

The majority of states almost certainly choose one party. As an example, states like Oklahoma and Alabama are Republican strongholds, while a win in California and Vermont is frequently predicted as soon as the polls close.

The battleground states

That leaves a handful of states where there are close, competitive elections. These are known as swing states. All eyes are on the seven WSJ polled states in this round.

Trump defeated Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton in the majority of the state’s battleground states to win the presidency in 2016 despite losing the popular vote.

According to a Pew Research Center survey released on Friday, Harris is leading the race nationally by one point – 48 percent to Trump’s 47 percent.

In recent months, the results of US election results have fluctuated. Trump and Joe Biden both held solid lead in almost all polls earlier this year, but the Democrats gained ground when Harris assumed Harris’s nomination for president.

Harris outperformed Trump by a Morning Consult poll in September, with a gap of 51% to 46%. However, in light of worries about the Middle East’s turmoil and the economy, the former president appeared to win back some support.

In the past, US election results have been far off the mark. For instance, many surveys had predicted that Clinton would have a comfortable victory if she had defeated Donald Trump in 2016.

Despite this year’s polls, it seems that the US will hold a close presidential election in the coming months.

Senate race

On November 5, control of the Senate and House of Representatives will also be in your hands.

Democrats’ hopes of preserving their overwhelmingly Democratic majority in the Senate were predicted to be hampered by a Friday New York Times poll.

The party currently has 51 seats in the 100-member chamber, including four independents who support the party.

However, according to the Times survey, Democrats are likely to lose a seat with Republican ingenuity.

In West Virginia, where conservative Democratic incumbent Joe Manchin isn’t running for re-election, Republicans were already anticipating winning.

However, according to the Times poll, Democratic Senator Jon Tester is now eight percentage points ahead of his Republican challenger in rural Montana, where Trump easily won in 2016 and 2020.

Democrats will also have a fight on their hands to keep Senate seats in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Arizona and Nevada, but they will be hoping to challenge Republican incumbents in Texas and Florida.

A Republican-controlled Senate can prove to be a major hurdle for Harris should she win in November.

Source: Aljazeera