Irregular border crossings decline as EU immigration policy stiffens

Detected irregular migration into the European Union fell by 42 percent to 166,000 in the first nine months of 2024 compared to the same period last year.

The statistics suggesting a reduced flow in migration, released by the EU border agency Frontex on Tuesday, comes as the EU and several member states adopt harsher immigration stances amid pressure from the extreme right, which made significant headway in EU elections in the summer.

The EU experienced a significant decline in asylum seeker crossings on two major migration routes—the Central Mediterranean and the Western Balkans—in January-September, according to Frontex.

The agency said nearly 17,000 individuals entered the EU through the Western Balkans, a 79 percent decrease year-on-year. Around 47,700 crossed the bloc’s border via the Central Mediterranean route, representing a 64 percent drop.

Rescuers recover a body after a migrant boat broke apart in rough seas at a beach near Cutro, southern Italy [File: Giuseppe Pipita/AP photo]

In contrast, border crossings via the Western African route doubled, with over 30,600 entries recorded in the year’s first nine months.

The sharpest increase was recorded at the EU’s eastern land borders, particularly in Poland, where nearly 13,200 crossings were detected, representing a 192 percent rise.

Populist policy

The drop in irregular migration comes as populist and nationalist political parties have gained ground across much of Europe, as demonstrated by their strong showings in EU elections over the summer.

That is pushing many EU states to implement harsher policies.

On Tuesday, a group of 16 migrants boarded an Italian navy ship for Albania. It was the first such trip under Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s controversial scheme to base migrants outside the EU while their asylum claims are processed.

Meloni’s right-wing government has also inked a deal with Tunisia, granting it aid in exchange for greater efforts to stop Italy-bound refugees who leave the North African country to cross the Mediterranean.

Also on Tuesday, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced plans to tighten legislation to boost the removal of those who fail to secure the right to stay in the EU.

“The EU’s migration policy can only be sustainable if those who do not have the right to stay in the EU are effectively returned,” von der Leyen wrote in a letter sent to EU leaders.

“However, only around 20 percent of third country nationals ordered to leave have actually returned,” she stated.

The new law is to define obligations of returnees and streamline the return process, she wrote.

Poland and its Central European neighbour, the Czech Republic, called last week for EU restrictions that are tougher than those in the bloc’s new pact on migration and asylum, which is due to come into force in 2026.

The rules, adopted in May, aim to share the responsibility for hosting asylum seekers across the 27   EU countries and to speed up the deportation of people deemed ineligible to stay.

The far-right governments of Hungary and the Netherlands have asked Brussels for an exemption from migration obligations.

Why has the India-Canada row escalated?

NewsFeed

India and Canada have kicked out one another’s diplomats after a row over who is responsible for the killing of a Sikh activist reignited. Here’s what we know.

‘Our neighbours burned alive’: The bombing of Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital

Deir el-Balah, Gaza, Palestine – Amani Madi still can’t believe she and her family survived the bombing that hit Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital in the middle of the night.

In the open space where the attack on displaced people’s tents took place early on Monday, the smell of smoke prevails, and burned cans and food are scattered on the ground among charred blankets and clothes.

People wander back and forth. Most of them used to live in the tents, and they are trying to find anything left behind by the blaze that destroyed their flimsy homes.

Bodies on fire as they ran

The attack tore through the makeshift camp set up by displaced people in the hospital’s courtyard, killing at least four people and injuring at least 40.

Madi shows her son Ahmed’s wound where shrapnel entered his body, but doctors were not able to remove it because Gaza’s medical facilities have been decimated by Israeli attacks [Abdelhakim Abu Riash/Al Jazeera]

“It was 1:10am when a massive explosion shook everything,” Madi, a 37-year-old mother of six, recalls as she sits in the remains of her burned tent.

“I looked out and saw flames devouring the tents next to ours,” Madi says. “My husband and I carried the kids and ran towards the emergency building.

“At the entrance, I saw my five-year-old son, who was screaming, was bleeding. I took him to the doctors to discover that he had shrapnel in his stomach.”

The doctors were able to bandage Ahmed up but had to leave the shrapnel where it had hit him, explaining to Madi that it would require delicate surgery to remove, a surgery that is not possible given the badly damaged Gaza medical sector.

A shot of the destruction caused when Israel bombed a displaced people's camp in Deir el-Balah, Gaza. The camp was in the courtyard of the Al-Aqsa Martyr's Hospital
The destruction caused when Israel bombed a displaced people’s camp in the courtyard of Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital in Deir el-Balah, Gaza [Abdelhakim Abu Riash/Al Jazeera]

Many Palestinians displaced multiple times end up at schools and hospitals, setting up tents again and again, using whatever materials they can find, clustering close together due to a lack of space.

Israel’s bombs spread fire through the crowded tents within minutes as Civil Defence workers struggled to put it out with what limited capabilities they had.

“People – women, men and children – were running away from the spreading fire, screaming,” Madi says. “Some of them were still burning, their bodies on fire as they ran. Terrifying, horrific, … unbelievable.

“Where are we supposed to go? It’s nearly winter. Is there no one to stop this holocaust against us?”

Jamalat Wadi in the midst of the destruction left by Israel bombing a displacement camp in the courtyard of Al-Aqsa Martyr's Hospital. On October 14, 2024
Jamalat Wadi sits among the destruction left by Israel’s bombing of a displacement camp in the courtyard of Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital on October 14, 2024 [Abdelhakim Abu Riash/Al Jazeera]

Madi’s tent was next to Jamalat Wadi’s tent, which was practically at the centre of the bombing.

Wadi, 43, says: “It was a miracle we survived, me and my seven daughters.”

“I woke them up, screaming, as our flaming tent was falling on our heads.

“My neighbour, her son and her husband were burned to death. No one could save them,” she says, crying bitterly.

Like many others, Wadi has been forced to flee numerous times, starting in Shujayea, then to Rafah, Nuseirat and Khan Younis before seeking refuge at Al-Aqsa Hospital.

“Now we’re in the streets again, but I won’t stay here after this. There’s nowhere safe.

“Hospitals and schools are at the forefront of Israeli targeting. What have we done to deserve this?”

Madi walking with her chidlren through the destruction caused by Israel bombing a displacement camp in the curtyard of Al-Aqsa Martyr's Hospital
Madi walks with her children through the destruction caused by the bombing [Abdelhakim Abu Riash/Al Jazeera]

‘A leg fell to the ground’

Maha Al-Sarsak, 17, lives in a tent adjacent to the ones that burned. Her family’s tent was not affected, but she witnessed the first moments of the explosion and fire.

Al-Sarsak walks through the carnage left behind by the bombing, crying.

She has been displaced at Al-Aqsa with her family for nine months.

After the hospital grounds were targeted numerous times, she says, she stopped sleeping at night for fear of another Israeli bombing.

“I was awake. What I feared happened … for the seventh time. I heard the strike from the direction of the tents opposite us. I screamed for my mother and my [eight] siblings, and we ran out towards the hospital building.”

Maha speaking to Al Jazeera about the attack overnight on October 14
Maha speaks to Al Jazeera about the attack [Abdelhakim Abu Riash/Al Jazeera]

“I saw our neighbour Umm Shaaban [Alaa Al-Dalu, 37] completely burned and her body charred along with her son [Shaaban, 20].

“When they were moving the victims from there, I saw a leg fall to the ground,” Al-Sarsak adds as she cries.

“They said the south is safe, but there is no safety. People were burned alive, and we spent a very terrifying night. Every time the hospital is targeted, we’re terrified,” Al-Sarsak says.

“But last night was the most terrifying. The fire ate the tents and people’s bodies in moments. Oh, God, have mercy.”

Displaced people are forced to scrabble through the charred remains of their flimsy tent homes to see what they can rescue to keep the family going a little longer. On October 14, 2024
Displaced people scrabble through the charred remains of their tent homes to see what they can recover [Abdelhakim Abu Riash/Al Jazeera]

A sustainable global universal basic income can be done. Here is how

In September, Pope Francis attended the World Meeting of Popular Movements, an initiative he launched 10 years ago as a platform for grassroots organisations to come together and address the “economy of exclusion and inequality”. During his speech at the event, the head of the Catholic Church renewed his call for a global universal basic income (UBI), saying that implementing such a measure would not only be a reflection of compassion but also “strict justice”.

Pope Francis has joined a growing international movement advocating for income redistribution through a scheme of unconditional monthly cash payments to every individual to cover their basic needs and provide economic security as a fundamental human right.

A global UBI is not just a question of poverty relief. It’s also a question of social justice. Centuries of exploitation and overextraction of resources have concentrated wealth in the Global North, and as a result, most Global South countries lack the tax base and fiscal firepower to fund their own national UBIs. A global UBI would not only end world poverty, but also represent a necessary and equitable redistribution of wealth from north to south.

Critics of the movement have often pointed to the significant cost that implementing UBI could incur for governments. So is there a sustainable way to pay for it?

At Equal Right, a nonprofit that also advocates for UBI, we have developed detailed modelling laid out in our paper “Climate Justice Without Borders”. It shows that a charge of $135 per tonne on the global extraction of fossil fuels could raise as much as $5 trillion a year and fund a global UBI of at least $30 a month. A progressive wealth tax ranging between 1 and 8 percent on the world’s richest multi-millionaires and billionaires could yield another $22 for every person in the world, and a financial transactions tax of just 0.1 percent could raise another $16 each.

These payments could be supplemented by other taxes on the global commons, including land, mining and artificial intelligence tools, recognising the equal right we all have to a share of the world’s wealth and resources.

Now, a payment of around $70 a month may not be life-changing for many. But for the 712 million people living in extreme poverty worldwide, it would be transformational. Pilot programmes from Canada to India and Finland to Brazil have demonstrated the huge social and economic benefits of giving people cash.

So, we can fund a global UBI by taxing carbon and wealth, but we must acknowledge the limitations of this approach. As carbon emissions decrease and wealth becomes more evenly distributed, taxable resources will diminish. This creates a cliff edge for the longevity of UBI, one that can only be bridged through more sustainable financing.

At the same time, a green just transition is urgently necessary to end our reliance on fossil fuels, and huge potential exists in the Global South in particular. Currently, this transition is fettered by predatory, high-interest loans that keep many countries in never-ending debt cycles.

That is why, to ensure the sustainability of UBI and support a green just transition, Equal Right proposes establishing a Global Commons Fund (GCF) – a people-owned initiative that would collect revenues from the fossil fuel charge, invest them in the green economy, and distribute a UBI as a dividend to all citizens. Based on the performance of similar sovereign wealth funds, like Norway’s (which is worth $1.7 trillion), we expect the fund could become self-sustaining (and no longer be reliant on extractive revenues) within around 20 years. However, an initial capital endowment from Global North countries could expedite this.

The GCF would seek to end the debt cycle for poor countries and provide grants for climate mitigation and adaptation. It could even pay interest to governments who show leadership by keeping their fossil fuel reserves in the ground.

Crucially, we must ensure that this fund does not encourage further exploitation of our shared resources. Therefore, we propose a global cap on carbon extraction, based on scientific recommendations to keep global temperature rise within 1.5 degrees Celsius. Fossil fuel companies would then pay a charge to access every tonne of fossil fuel extracted under this cap.

The “cap and share” model we have put together not only funds a global UBI, but also mitigates the climate crisis, paving the way for a radical but necessary socio-ecological transformation needed to keep us within planetary boundaries and avoid continued climate chaos.

The UBI itself could be a powerful tool to tackle the climate crisis. For instance, in India, basic income pilot programmes have shown that households receiving UBI are more likely to transition to cleaner fuel options. In Peru, an NGO called Cool Earth provides a basic income for conservation work in the Amazon. Meanwhile, NGOs GiveDirectly and the International Rescue Committee are using data to predict natural disasters and provide cash payments to help communities prepare and rebuild, acting as a form of compensation for loss and damage.

Climate justice and economic justice are two sides of the same coin. Our “cap and share” system not only addresses the urgent need for climate finance, but also tackles poverty and inequality by funding a global UBI.

As the world looks towards COP29, and pressure mounts on member states to achieve the aims of the Paris Agreement and agree on a New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) for climate finance, Equal Right urges policymakers to consider the potential of the “cap and share” system.

This radical yet necessary approach can fund a global UBI, as championed by Pope Francis, while capping fossil fuels and funding a better future for us all. Embracing these bold yet essential approaches will not only advance climate justice but also foster economic equity, ensuring that no one is left behind in the pursuit of a sustainable and just future for all.

In a time of immense uncertainty, “cap and share” gives us options: a way out, a way through and a way forward.